Exploring Electric Vehicle Purchases and Residential Choices in a Two-Dimensional Monocentric City:An Agent-Based Microeconomic Model  

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作  者:Chao Shu Yue Bao Ziyou Gao Zaihan Gao 

机构地区:[1]School of Systems Science,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China [2]University College London,London WC1E 6BT,UK

出  处:《Engineering》2025年第3期316-330,共15页工程(英文)

基  金:supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(72288101,72361137002,and 72101018);the Dutch Research Council(NWO Grant 482.22.01).

摘  要:Vehicle electrification,an important method for reducing carbon emissions from road transport,has been promoted globally.In this study,we analyze how individuals adapt to this transition in transportation and its subsequent impact on urban structure.Considering the varying travel costs associated with electric and fuel vehicles,we analyze the dynamic choices of households concerning house locations and vehicle types in a two-dimensional monocentric city.A spatial equilibrium is developed to model the interactions between urban density,vehicle age and vehicle type.An agent-based microeconomic residential choice model dynamically coupled with a house rent market is developed to analyze household choices of home locations and vehicle energy types,considering vehicle ages and competition for public charging piles.Key findings from our proposed models show that the proportion of electric vehicles(EVs)peaks at over 50%by the end of the first scrappage period,accompanied by more than a 40%increase in commuting distance and time compared to the scenario with only fuel vehicles.Simulation experiments on a theoretical grid indicate that heterogeneity-induced residential segregation can lead to urban sprawl and congestion.Furthermore,households with EVs tend to be located farther from the city center,and an increase in EV ownership contributes to urban expansion.Our study provides insights into how individuals adapt to EV transitions and the resulting impacts on home locations and land use changes.It offers a novel perspective on the dynamic interactions between EV adoption and urban development.

关 键 词:Electric vehicles Two-dimensional monocentric city Agent-based model Residential segregation 

分 类 号:U469.7[机械工程—车辆工程] F42[交通运输工程—载运工具运用工程]

 

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