双循环新发展格局下长三角物流一体化对区域经济发展的影响机制  

Impact Mechanism of Logistics Integration on Regional Economic Development in the Yangtze River Delta under the New Dual-circulation Development Pattern

作　　者：许萌 XU Meng(The College of Henan Procuratorial Profession,Xinzheng,Henan 451191,China)

机构地区：[1]河南检察职业学院,河南新郑451191

出　　处：《物流技术》2025年第3期25-36,共12页Logistics Technology

基　　金：2025年度河南省科技厅软科学项目“数据经济背景下的郑州都市圈一体化发展路径研究”(252400411064)。

摘　　要：在以国内大循环为主体、国内国际双循环相互促进的新发展格局下,长三角地区作为中国经济增长极,其物流一体化对区域经济协同发展具有关键作用。基于增长极理论、供应链整合理论和新经济地理学理论,构建“效率-结构-韧性”的递进式分析框架,并引入空间权重矩阵,选取2010-2022年长三角41个城市的面板数据进行实证分析,深入探讨物流一体化对区域经济发展的影响机制。研究发现:物流一体化对区域经济发展具有显著的促进作用;物流效率的提升能够推动产业结构高级化;物流一体化通过增强产业链韧性,间接促进区域经济增长。同时,长三角地区经济增长存在显著的空间自相关性,核心城市的物流一体化发展对周边城市具有溢出效应。最后,从成本削减、创新协同和风险抵御三个角度提出政策建议,以推动长三角物流一体化发展,促进区域经济高质量发展,助力双循环战略的落地。Under the new“dual-circulation”development pattern where the domestic circulation is the mainstay and the domestic and international circulations mutually reinforce each other,the logistics integration in the Yangtze River Delta(YRD),as China's economic growth pole,plays a key role in the coordinated development of regional economies.This study,based on the theories of growth poles,supply chain management and new economic geography,constructs a progressive analysis framework of“efficiency-structure-resilience”and introduces a spatial weight matrix.By using panel data from 41 cities in the Yangtze River Delta between 2010 and 2022,the paper empirically analyzes the impact mechanism of logistics integration on regional economic growth.The study found that logistics integration has a significant role in promoting regional economic development;the improvement of logistics efficiency can drive the advancement of industrial structure;logistics integration indirectly promotes regional economic growth by enhancing the resilience of the industrial chain.There is significant spatial autocorrelation in the economic growth of the Yangtze River Delta region,and the development of logistics integration in core cities has a spillover effect on surrounding cities.Finally,policy recommendations are proposed from three perspectives:cost reduction,innovation synergy,and risk resistance,to promote the development of logistics integration in the Delta,foster high-quality regional economic development,and support the implementation of the dual-circulation strategy.

关 键 词：物流一体化 区域经济 长三角地区 双循环 

分 类 号：F252[经济管理—国民经济] F259.27