中国省域新质生产力:水平测度、关联网络及演进趋势  

Provincial New Quality Productive Forces in China:Level Measurement,Correlation Network and Evolutionary Trend

作　　者：米国芳 戴沛绢 张梦瑶 王春枝 MI Guo-fang;DAI Pei-juan;ZHANG Meng-yao;WANG Chun-zhi(College of Statistics and Mathematics,Inner Mongolia University of Finance and Economics,Hohhot 010070,China)

机构地区：[1]内蒙古财经大学统计与数学学院,内蒙古呼和浩特010070

出　　处：《统计学报》2025年第2期33-49,共17页Journal of Statistics

基　　金：内蒙古教育厅一流学科科研专项项目(YLXKZX-NCD-001);内蒙古哲学社会科学规划项目(2024NDB163);内蒙古自然科学基金项目(2023LHMS07007);国家社会科学基金重大项目(18ZDA127)。

摘　　要：选取2013—2022年中国30个省(市、自治区)为研究样本,测算新质生产力水平,并分析其空间关联网络特征及动态演进趋势。研究表明:省域间新质生产力空间联动不断增强,无论从整体还是个体网络特征来看,都呈现出非均衡的空间演化趋势;按照结构对等性将省域新质生产力空间关联网络划分为四部分,板块Ⅰ为净溢出板块,板块Ⅱ为净受益板块,板块Ⅲ和板块Ⅳ均为双向溢出板块,并且板块Ⅰ、板块Ⅱ和板块Ⅲ具有较强的内部集聚效应;新质生产力水平具有较强的稳定性,存在“马太效应”。This paper selected 30 provinces(including municipalities and autonomous regions)in China from 2013 to 2022 as the research sample to measure the level of new quality productive forces.On this basis,the study analyzed the characteristics and dynamic evolution trends of the spatial correlation network of new quality productive forces.The results showed that the spatial linkages of new quality productive forces among provinces have been continuously strengthened,exhibiting non-equilibrium spatial evolution characteristics in terms of both overall and individual network features.The spatially correlated sectors of new quality productive forces could be divided into four types:the net benefit sector(Plate I),the two-way spillover sector(Plate II),and the net spillover sector(Plate III and Plate IV).Plate I,Plate II,and Plate III demonstrated a strong internal agglomeration effect.Additionally,the level of new quality productive forces had strong stability,along with a Matthew effect.

关 键 词：新质生产力 实体构成 实质表现 要素升级 效能跃升 净受益板块 双向溢出板块 净溢出板块 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]