抗议性选举与特朗普变局——2024年美国大选观察及后续分析  

Protest Election and the Trump Turmoil: Observations and Analysis of the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

作　　者：朱文莉[1] Zhu Wenli

机构地区：[1]北京大学国际关系学院,100871

出　　处：《国际政治研究》2025年第1期9-29,5,共22页The Journal of International Studies

摘　　要：在2024年美国大选中,全球化退潮带来的经济结构变化,网络平台压制传统媒体带来的文化传播结构变化,算法操控带来的政治动员组织方式变化,共同构成了政治不满爆发的理想环境。面对全球体系的混乱,拜登—哈里斯代表的稳健改良路线未能获得足够的认可,特朗普肆意果断的破坏性姿态占据上风。特朗普和共和党取得了速胜、全胜,但只是小胜。特朗普上台首月的颠覆性施政有彻底改变美国分权制衡体制和多元化政治生态的趋势。美国的政治变局可能使全球化收缩的过程更加风险重重。In the 2024 U.S. presential election, the economic structural changes brought by the retreat of globalization, the shifts in cultural communication dynamics due to digital platforms suppressing traditional media, and the transformations in political mobilization methods driven by algorithmic manipulation together created an ideal environment for political discontent to erupt. As a result, the moderate reform led by the Biden-Harris administration failed to gain sufficient popular support. Donald Trump won the election with his reckless demolishing style. His victory was swift and comprehensive, but not dominant or decisive. Nevertheless, Trump's audacious governing style in his second term has already shaken the U.S. system of checks and balances and its pluralistic political ecosystem. The political turmoil in the United State may further heighten the risks associated with the de-globalization process.

关 键 词：区域国别研究 美国 选举 2024年 特朗普政府 世界政治 全球化退潮 

分 类 号：D815.4[政治法律—国际关系]