新质生产力赋能制造业出口韧性的机制研究  

Research on the Mechanism of New Qualitative Productivity Enabling Manufacturing Export Resilience

作　　者：金泽虎[1] 曹恬瑜 JIN Zehu;CAO Tianyu(School of Economics,Anhui University,Hefei,Anhui 230601)

机构地区：[1]安徽大学经济学院,安徽合肥230601

出　　处：《贵州商学院学报》2025年第1期65-78,共14页Journal of Guizhou University Of Commerce

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“数字技术驱动要素流动对城乡融合发展的影响与对策研究”(23YJC790163);安徽省科研编制计划项目重点项目“基于长三角一体化视角的数字经济衍生性FDI流入效应研究”(2022AH050037)。

摘　　要：新质生产力的发展能增强产业出口韧性。基于中国31个省(区、市)2009—2022年相关数据,实证分析新质生产力发展对制造业出口韧性的影响。新质生产力的发展提高了制造业抵御风险的能力和从风险中恢复的能力,对其出口韧性有显著的正向影响。新质生产力对制造业出口韧性的正向影响作用在不同区域、不同市场化程度下存在异质性。新质生产力通过劳动生产率形成对制造业出口韧性的作用机制。加强科技创新、提升劳动生产率对新质生产力发展提升制造业出口韧性有重要推动作用。The development of new productive forces can enhance the resilience of industrial exports.Based on the data of 31 provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities in China from 2009 to 2022,this paper empirically analyzes the impact of new qualitative productivity on the export resilience of manufacturing industry.The development of new qualitative productivity has improved the ability of manufacturing industry to resist risks and recover from risks,and has a significant positive impact on its export resilience.The positive impact of new qualitative productivity on the export resilience of manufacturing industry is heterogeneous in different regions and under different marketization degrees.Through labor productivity,the new qualitative productivity forms an action mechanism on the export resilience of manufacturing industry.Strengthening scientific and technological innovation and improving labor productivity play an important role in promoting the development of new qualitative productivity enhancing the export resilience of manufacturing industry.

关 键 词：新质生产力 制造业出口韧性 劳动生产率 

分 类 号：F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学]