高校传染病防控能力评价指标体系构建  

Construction of evaluation index system of infectious disease prevention and control ability in colleges and universities

作　　者：乔婷鞠 白钢[1] 刘丹 刘薇 朱宇华 王筱婉 孙雪松 张倩 赵作天 李建云 王文瑞[2] 王琪 刘铮然[1] QIAO Tingju;BAI Gang;LIU Dan;LIU Wei;ZHU Yuhua;WANG Xiaowan;SUN Xuesong;ZHANG Qian;ZHAO Zuotian;LI Jianyun;WANG Wenrui;WANG Qi;LIU Zhengran(School of Public Health,Baotou Medical College,Baotou(014040),Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,China;不详)

机构地区：[1]包头医学院公共卫生学院,内蒙古014040 [2]内蒙古自治区疾病预防控制中心鼠疫与布病预防控制所

出　　处：《中国学校卫生》2025年第3期438-442,共5页Chinese Journal of School Health

基　　金：内蒙古自治区教育厅自然科学重点项目(NJZZ21047);内蒙古自治区科技重大专项项目(2021ZD0006);内蒙古自治区哲学社会科学规划项目(2022ZZA040)。

摘　　要：目的构建科学、完善的高校传染病防控能力评价指标体系,为高校有效应对传染病提供参考工具。方法采用文献分析法构建高校传染病防控能力评价指标体系初始框架,选择熟悉传染病防控或者学校卫生工作的专家(分别有16,18位)进行2轮德尔菲专家咨询确定评价指标体系,采用层次分析法计算指标权重及组合权重。再方便抽取内蒙古3所高校传染病防控人员198名,运用模糊综合评价法对评价指标进行综合评价。结果2轮德尔菲咨询问卷有效回收率分别为80.0%,90.0%,专家权威程度分别为0.89和0.86,专家和谐系数Kendall W分别为0.166,0.310,各指标变异系数均<0.25,最终构建的高校传染病防控能力评价指标体系包括4项一级指标、14项二级指标和75项三级指标。一级指标预防与监测预警、组织制度保障、应急管理、善后恢复与总结的权重数值分别为0.176,0.476,0.268,0.080;二级指标前3位权重数值分别为传染病监测预警0.623、损失评估0.595、应急处置0.370。高校传染病防控能力评价指标体系模糊综合评价得分为79.148,等级水平较高。结论构建的高校传染病防控能力评价指标体系具有科学性和合理性,可为评估高校传染病防控能力提供工具参考。Objective To construct a scientific and perfect evaluation index system of infectious disease prevention and control ability in colleges and universities,so as to provide reference tools for colleges and universities to effectively respond to infectious disease.Methods The initial framework of the evaluation index system of infectious disease prevention and control ability in colleges and universities was constructed by using literature analysis method.Experts familiar with infectious disease prevention and control or school health work were selected to conduct two rounds(n=16,18)of Delphi expert consultation for determining the evaluation index system.Analytical hierarchy process was used to calculate the index weights and combined weights.About 198 prevention and control personnel were conveniently selected from 3 universities in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region to comprehensively evaluate the evaluation indicators by using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method.Results After two rounds of Delphi consultation questionnaire,the effective recovery rates were 80.0%and 90.0%,the expert authority levels were 0.89 and 0.86,the expert harmony coefficients for Kendall W were 0.166 and 0.310,and the variation coefficient of each index was<0.25.Finally,the evaluation index system of infectious disease prevention and control ability of colleges and universities included 4 first-level indicators,14 second-level indicators and 75 third-level indicators.The weights of prevention and monitoring and early warning,organizational system guarantee,emergency management,rehabilitation and summary were 0.176,0.476,0.268 and 0.080,respectively.The top 3 weights of the secondary indexes were 0.623 for infectious disease surveillance and early warning,0.595 for loss assessment and 0.370 for emergency response.The score of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of the index system of infectious disease prevention and control ability in colleges and universities was 79.148,suggesting a high level.Conclusion The established evaluation index system

关 键 词：传染病 综合预防 德尔菲技术 学生保健服务 

分 类 号：R478[医药卫生—护理学] R183[医药卫生—临床医学] R181.32