双向FDI协调发展对碳收支平衡的影响机理及空间溢出效应--以长江经济带为例  

Mechanism and Spatial Spillover Effect of Coordinated Development of Two-way FDI on Carbon Balance:A Case Study of Yangtze River Economic Belt

作　　者：邹秀清 张燕 顾嘉雯 郑卓琳 ZOU Xiu-qing;ZHANG Yan;GU Jia-wen;ZHEN Zhuo-lin(School of Economics and Management,Shanghai University of Electric Power,Shanghai 201306,China)

机构地区：[1]上海电力大学经济与管理学院,上海201306

出　　处：《长江流域资源与环境》2025年第3期507-521,共15页Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目(19BGL214)。

摘　　要：双向FDI协调发展是构建“双循环”新发展格局的关键,也是推进固碳减排进而如期实现“双碳”目标的重要着力点。在理清双向FDI协调发展对碳收支平衡的影响机理后,基于2008~2021年长江经济带11个省份的面板数据,运用动态空间杜宾模型和中介效应模型实证检验双向FDI协调发展对碳收支平衡的影响效应及作用机制。结果表明:(1)2008~2021年长江经济带双向FDI协调发展水平均值呈现波动上升趋势,空间格局呈现“上游<中游<下游”的特征;碳收支平衡比均值呈现波动下降趋势,空间格局呈现“上游>中游>下游”的特征。(2)长江经济带双向FDI协调发展对碳收支平衡的影响呈现“U”型特征并存在显著的空间溢出效应。(3)技术进步和产业结构升级在双向FDI协调发展影响碳收支平衡中存在显著的中介效应。(4)长江经济带双向FDI协调发展对碳收支平衡的影响存在区域异质性,上游、中游和下游地区“U”型曲线的拐点值大小呈“上游>中游>下游”的特征。应进一步推进高质量对外开放,健全地区协同发展的长效机制,助力碳收支平衡。The coordinated development of two-way FDI is the key to building a new development pattern of"double-cycle",and is also an important focus point to promote carbon sequestration and emission reduction to realize the goal of"double-carbon".After clarifying the influence mechanism of the coordinated development of two-way FDI on carbon balance,this paper empirically tested the impact and mechanism of the coordinated development of two-way FDI on carbon balance,based on the panel data of 11 provinces of the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2008 to 2021.The dynamic spatial Durbin model and the mediation effect model were used in this study.The results showed that:(1)The average value of coordinated development level of two-way FDI showed a fluctuating upward trend,and the spatial pattern was characterized by"upper reachesmiddle reaches>lower reaches".(2)The impact of the coordinated development of two-way FDI on carbon balance presented a"U"shape and had a significant spatial spillover effect in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.(3)There was a significant mediating effect of technological progress and industrial structure upgrading in the coordinated development of two-way FDI affecting the carbon balance.(4)There existed regional heterogeneity in the impact of the coordinated development of two-way FDI on the carbon balance in the Yangtze River Economic Belt.The size of the inflection point of the"U"curve was characterized by"Upper reaches>Middle reaches>Lower reaches".Therefore,there existed room of further promoting the carbon balance,strengthening a high-quality opening and of a synergistic regional development in a long-term.

关 键 词：双向FDI 碳收支 动态空间杜宾模型 中介效应 长江经济带 

分 类 号：X321[环境科学与工程—环境工程]