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作 者:唐宏 殷子寒[1] TANG Hong;YIN Zi-han(College of Management,Sichuan Agricultural University,Chengdu 611130,China;Sichuan Rural Development Research Center,Chengdu 611130,China)
机构地区:[1]四川农业大学管理学院,四川成都611130 [2]四川省农村发展研究中心,四川成都611130
出 处:《长江流域资源与环境》2025年第3期693-704,共12页Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin
基 金:四川省社会科学重点研究基地项目(CR2301);四川省科技厅软科学项目(2023JDR0020)。
摘 要:基于全国7省的农户调研数据,构建理论分析框架并运用有序Probit和Tobit模型,探究耕地细碎化和农机社会化服务对耕地“非粮化”的影响机制。结果表明:(1)耕地细碎化对农户“非粮化”种植行为和耕地“非粮化”种植规模均有正向影响;(2)农机社会化服务抑制耕地“非粮化”,且负向调节耕地细碎化对“非粮化”的促进作用;(3)劳动力年龄、非农就业、农业培训参与、互联网农业信息获取、种粮补贴获取、耕地经营规模、村庄到县城距离和粮食产区分布也是影响耕地“非粮化”利用的重要因素。耕地细碎化显著促进了耕地“非粮化”,而农机社会化服务能抵消这种影响,应健全农机社会化服务市场,通过土地整治、经营权适度流转等方式缓解耕地细碎现象,完善耕地保护与种粮补贴,提升农户种粮积极性,保障粮食安全供给。The purpose of this study was to explore the impact of service of farmland fragmentation and agricultural machinery socialization on“Non-grain”utilization.This paper constructed a theoretical analysis framework and applies the ordered Probit and Tobit models based on the survey data in 7 provinces of China.The results showed that:(1)Farmland fragmentation had a significant positive effect on the“non-grain”planting behavior and scale;(2)Agricultural machinery socialization service inhibited the“Non-grain”planting,and negatively regulated the promoting effect of farmland fragmentation on“Non-grain”utilization;(3)The factors that affected“Non-grain”utilization included labor average age,proportion of non-agricultural employment,participation in agricultural training,access to agricultural information through the Internet,grain subsidy,the scale of farmland management,village-to-county distance,and the distribution of grain-producing areas.Agricultural machinery socialization service could significantly offset these effects.Government and society should develop the agricultural socialization service,alleviate the fragmentation of farmland by means of land consolidation and proper management-right transfer.There was also a need to improve the protection of farmland and grain-growing subsidies to enhance the enthusiasm of farmers for growing grain,and to ensure the food security.
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