RCEP背景下人民币国际化影响因素的研究  

A Study on the Influencing Factors of RMB Internationalization under the Background of RCEP

作　　者：任重[1] 王贺[1] Ren Zhong;Wang He(Hangzhou Dianzi University,Hangzhou,Zhejiang 310000)

机构地区：[1]杭州电子科技大学,浙江杭州310000

出　　处：《中国商论》2025年第7期5-8,共4页China Journal of Commerce

摘　　要：《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》(RCEP)作为全球涵盖人口最多、经贸规模最大且最具发展潜力的自由贸易区,不仅为人民币国际化带来了重大的战略契机与突破途径,还促进了RCEP成员国之间贸易和投资的自由化与便利化,有力地推动了区域经济一体化进程。为深入探究RCEP对人民币国际化的影响,本文选取2012—2022年全球33个国家的季度面板数据,运用双重差分倾向得分匹配法(PSM-DID)对RCEP在人民币国际化方面的作用进行评估,并对其内在作用机制展开深入剖析。研究发现:RCEP对人民币国际化具有显著的推动作用;RCEP主要通过促进成员国之间的贸易往来和加大对外投资力度来推动人民币国际化进程。基于此,本文提出了相应的对策和建议,以期为进一步推动人民币国际化及深化区域经济合作提供有益参考。As the free trade area with the largest population,the largest economic and trade scale and the most development potential in the world,the RCEP agreement not only provides a major strategic opportunity and breakthrough path for the internationalization of Renminbi,but also promotes the liberalization and facilitation of trade and investment among RCEP member countries,and further promotes the process of regional economic integration.In order to deeply investigate the impact of RCEP on Renminbi internationalization,the quarterly panel data of 33 countries around the world from 2012 to 2022 were used to evaluate the impact of RCEP on Renminbi internationalization by using the differencein-difference propensity score matching method(PSM-DID),and its mechanism was deeply discussed.The results show that RCEP has a significant effect on the internationalization of Renminbi.RCEP promotes the internationalization of the Renminbi by promoting trade and increasing foreign investment.Finally,the corresponding measures and suggestions are put forward.

关 键 词：RCEP 人民币国际化 PSM-DID 区域经济 对外贸易 对外直接投资 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易] F121.3[经济管理—产业经济]