基于双碳目标和IMO温室气体减排战略的船队减碳路线研究  

Study of carbon reduction routes for fleets based on dual carbon targets and IMO GHG reduction strategies

作　　者：赵仲秋 郝金凤 强兆新 李妍 万燕鸣 张岩 ZHAO Zhongqiu;HAO Jinfeng;QIANG Zhaoxin;LI Yan;VWAN Yanming;HANG Yan(China Ship Design and Research Center Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100081,China;China Shipbuilding Trading Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100048,China;China Hydrogen Alliance Research Institute Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100007,China)

机构地区：[1]中船重工船舶设计研究中心有限公司,北京100081 [2]中国船舶工业贸易有限公司,北京100048 [3]北京国氢中联氢能科技研究院有限公司,北京100007

出　　处：《中国航海》2025年第1期174-179,189,共7页Navigation of China

摘　　要：为应对《IMO船舶温室气体减排初步战略》和国内“3060双碳目标”,提出了适用于国内船队的减碳路线。利用船队减碳分析模型,通过定义石化燃料、甲醇燃料和氨燃料路径,分析国内某航运公司船队基于上述燃料路径的碳减排量、碳强度和碳减排成本。研究结果表明:船队基于甲醇和氨燃料路径可满足《IMO船舶温室气体减排初步战略》和国内“3060双碳目标”的要求,近期可由传统燃油船型尽快过渡到甲醇/氨燃料Ready(甲醇/氨燃料动力系统预设)船型,中远期陆续过渡到甲醇/氨燃料动力船型;绿甲醇和绿氨相比各有优势,未来中长期商业应用的多寡主要取决于绿甲醇和绿氨在可获得性、经济性等方面的差异。In response to the IMO Preliminary Strategy for Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction from Ships and the domestic"3060 Double Carbon Goal",carbon reduction routes applicable to the domestic fleet are proposed.Using the fleet carbon reduction analysis model,the carbon reduction amount,carbon intensity and carbon reduction cost of a domestic shipping company's fleet based on the above fuel routes are analyzed by defining the fossil fuel,methanol fuel and ammonia fuel routes.The results of the study show that the fleet based on methanol and ammonia fuel paths can meet the requirements of the"Preliminary Strategy for Ship Temperature IMO Room Gas Emission Reduction"and the domestic"3060 Double Carbon Goal",and that the fleet can be transitioned from the traditional bunker fuel type to the methanol/ammonia ready type as soon as possible in the near future,and then to methanol/ammonia powered type in the medium and long term.In the near future,we can transition from traditional fuel oil ships to methanol/ammonia fuel ready(methanol/ammonia fuel power system preset)ships as soon as possible,and in the middle and long term,we can gradually transition to methanol/ammonia fuel-powered ships;green methanol and green ammonia have their own advantages,and the number of future medium and long term commercial applications mainly depends on the differences between green methanol and green ammonia in the aspects of availability and economy.

关 键 词：船队减碳路线 碳减排 碳强度 碳减排成本 甲醇燃料 氨燃料 经济性 

分 类 号：U663[交通运输工程—船舶及航道工程]