中国自贸试验区制度创新推动区域经济增长路径研究  

Study on the Path of Institutional Innovation in China’s Pilot Free Trade Zone to Promote Regional Economic Growth

作　　者：洪宇[1,2] 杜鹏程 李静[4] HONG Yu;DU Pengcheng;LI Jing(Postdoctoral Station,University of Science and Technology of China,Hefei 230026,China;Hefei Xingtai Financial Holding(Group)Co.,Hefei 230071,China;School of Business,Anhui University,Hefei 230601,China;School of Economics,Anhui University,Hefei 230601,China)

机构地区：[1]中国科学技术大学博士后流动站,安徽合肥230026 [2]合肥兴泰金融控股(集团)有限公司,安徽合肥230071 [3]安徽大学商学院,安徽合肥233030 [4]安徽大学经济学院,安徽合肥233030

出　　处：《当代经济科学》2025年第2期133-150,共18页Modern Economic Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“后疫情时期组织双元免疫力的构建及其对交互式创新平衡的影响研究”(72272001);安徽省软科学研究重点项目“中国(安徽)自由贸易试验区企业创新能力评价及创新环境建设研究”(202106f01050025)。

摘　　要：中国自由贸易试验区(简称“自贸试验区”)建设已成为推动区域经济高质量发展的关键力量,现有研究未充分考虑制度创新因素,导致对自贸试验区的产出弹性估计存在偏差。将制度创新引入内生增长模型,分析其对经济增长的双重驱动机制及溢出效应,利用文本分析构建制度创新指数,考察其对经济高质量发展的影响路径与机制。研究发现,后期建设的自贸试验区资本积累效率更高,符合传统“干中学”模型的特点,但其稳态增长率较低,而跨期替代弹性较大。据此建议加快构建中国自贸试验区制度创新评价体系,提高政府治理与制度创新成果的转化率,加强智能科技、数字技术与平台的引进和应用。Over the past decade since the establishment of China’s Pilot Free Trade Zones(PFTZs),these initiatives have consistently prioritized institutional innovation as their core mission.Significant achievements have been realized in promoting investment liberalization,trade facilitation,financial openness,innovation,and business environment optimization.These zones have generated numerous institutional innovations and developed replicable,scalable successful experiences,making substantial contributions to regional economic development.However,recent studies have failed to incorporate institutional innovation factors when analyzing PFTZs’impact on economic growth,resulting in misestimated output elasticity and significant deviations between predicted and actual economic growth rates.This research first establishes a theoretical model incorporating both institutional innovation and technological advancement within PFTZs.By focusing on the supply side,we eliminate potential heterogeneity stemming from regional differences and mitigate the stochastic nature of innovation processes.We then introduce a consumption preference function to construct a comprehensive equilibrium path model,calibrating parameters and conducting numerical simulations to correct the path coefficients between PFTZs and economic growth.Utilizing provincial panel data from 2013 to 2020,we measure both the high-quality development index of regional economies and the institutional innovation index of PFTZs to analyze how these zones impact regional economic development.Our findings remain valid after rigorous endogeneity and robustness testing.Additionally,through Seemingly Unrelated Regression(SUR)modeling,we systematically analyze the pathways through which physical capital,technological progress,and institutional innovation in PFTZs promote regional economic growth,clarifying the drivers of regional economic growth in relation to PFTZ development.The primary contributions of this research are threefold:First,we factorize institutional innovation

关 键 词：自贸试验区 高质量发展 制度创新 技术进步 产出弹性 区域经济增长 

分 类 号：F752.8[经济管理—国际贸易]