城市绿色发展水平与韧性耦合协调度及影响因素分析  

Analysis of the coupling coordination and influencing factors between urban green development level and resilience

作　　者：李顺毅[1] 冉金环 LI Shunyi;RAN Jinhuan(School of Economics,Guizhou University of Finance and Economics,Guiyang 550025,China)

机构地区：[1]贵州财经大学经济学院,贵州贵阳550025

出　　处：《资源开发与市场》2025年第4期565-574,共10页Resource Development & Market

基　　金：国家社会科学基金西部项目(编号:21XTJ002)。

摘　　要：在推进生态文明建设与提升城市应对挑战能力的背景下,促进城市绿色发展水平与韧性的深度融合与协同演进,已成为提升中国城市绿色发展整体质量、加速可持续发展战略落地实施的核心策略。利用2003—2019年数据,对中国270个城市的绿色发展水平与绿色发展韧性的耦合协调度进行评价和分析,并通过空间计量模型分析影响因素及其空间效应。结果表明:(1)从均值来看,270个城市绿色发展水平与韧性的耦合协调度从抵抗期(2003—2008年)到恢复期(2008—2019年)有了明显提高;从差异来看,Dagum空间基尼系数从抵抗期到恢复期呈下降趋势。(2)对于不同区域的城市,东部地区耦合协调度最高,东北地区和西部地区相对偏低;对于不同行政等级的城市,普通地级市的耦合协调度明显落后于更高行政等级的城市;对于不同规模的城市,耦合协调度大体上也是随城市规模减小而降低。(3)从子系统来看,经济、生态两个子系统上的耦合协调度均值都有所提升,但社会子系统的耦合协调度不升反降。(4)在影响因素上,经济水平、环境保护、对外开放、产业结构、财政自给能力、金融发展和科技投入均对耦合协调度有显著的正向直接效应。To enhance the quality of green development in China's urban areas and expedite the progress towards sustainable development goals,a pivotal strategy lies in fostering the profound integration and synergistic evolution between the levels of green development and resilience within cities.This aligns with the objectives of accelerating the construction of an ecological civilization and bolstering cities'resilience against various challenges.The present research endeavors to assess and analyze the degree of coupling and coordination between the green development level and resilience of 270 Chinese cities,utilizing data spanning from 2003 to 2019.Furthermore,spatial econometric models are employed to delve into the influencing factors and their spatial effects.The results showed that:①From an average perspective,there has been a notable improvement in the coupling coordination degree between resilience and green development levels across the 270 cities studied,from the resistance phase(2003-2008)to the recovery period(2008-2019).②From the disparity angle,the Dagum spatial Gini coefficient exhibits a declining trend from the resistance era to the recovery period.The coupling coordination status varies by region,with the eastern region demonstrating the highest degree,while the northeastern and western regions lag behind.Among cities of different administrative levels,the coupling coordination degree for ordinary prefecture-level cities is substantially lower than that of cities with higher administrative statuses.Additionally,for cities of varying sizes,the coupling coordination degree generally decreases as city size diminishes.③From a subsystem perspective,the coupling coordination degree of the social subsystem has been decreasing rather than increasing,whereas the average coupling coordination degree of the ecological and economic subsystems has improved.④The economic level,environmental protection measures,openness to the outside world,industrial structure,financial development,technological investment,fi

关 键 词：绿色发展水平 绿色发展韧性 耦合协调 影响因素 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]