考虑需求响应不确定性的电-热-氢综合能源系统优化调度策略  

An optimal scheduling strategy for integrated electric-thermo-hydrogen energy sys⁃tem considering demand response uncertainty

作　　者：张海伟 刘会家[1] 洪家恩 徐志高 ZHANG Haiwei;LIU Huijia;HONG Jiaen;XU Zhigao(College of Electrical Engineering and New Energy,China Three Gorges University,Yichang,Hubei 443002,)

机构地区：[1]三峡大学电气与新能源学院,湖北宜昌443002

出　　处：《浙江电力》2025年第4期39-49,共11页Zhejiang Electric Power

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(52277108)。

摘　　要：为提高社区综合能源系统的运行灵活性,充分挖掘系统调度潜力,提出了一种考虑需求响应不确定性的电-热-氢综合能源系统优化调度策略。首先,引入了考虑变载启停特性的电制氢设备,基于其两阶段运行过程与电氢耦合单元运行特性,实现了氢能利用单元的精细化建模。其次,结合消费者心理学理论和Logtic回归曲线,建立替代型需求响应的不确定性模型。然后,设计激励政策并结合价格型需求响应对用户负荷曲线优化。最后,通过算例仿真验证了所提策略的有效性,该策略可促进可再生能源的消纳并降低系统运行成本。To enhance the operational flexibility of community integrated energy systems(IES)and fully explore their scheduling potential,an optimal scheduling strategy for integrated electricity-heat-hydrogen energy systems considering demand response uncertainty is proposed.First,a electrolytic hydrogen production unit with variable load startup-shutoff characteristics is introduced,enabling refined hydrogen utilization unit modeling based on their two-stage operation process and operational characteristics of electricity-hydrogen coupling.Second,an uncertainty model for substitutive demand response is developed using consumer psychology theory and a logistic regression curve.Third,an incentive policy is designed and combined with price-based demand response to optimize user load curves.Finally,simulation results validate the effectiveness of the proposed strategy,demonstrating its ability to promote renewable energy consumption and reduce operating costs of the system.

关 键 词：氢能利用单元精细化建模 社区综合能源系统 消费者心理学 不确定性 

分 类 号：TM73[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]