对我国失能老年人数据的再分析——兼论我国长期护理保险制度的建设  

The Re-Analysis of the Data on the Elderly with Disabilities in China——With Discussion on the Establishment of a Long-Term Care Insurance System in China

作　　者：郑远长 Zheng Yuanchang

机构地区：[1]国家康复辅具研究中心党委

出　　处：《社会福利》2025年第1期3-12,64,共11页Social Welfare

摘　　要：推进建立长期护理保险制度,已经成为民生福让领域最重要的制度建设任务之一,但扎实测算我国失能老年人数据,分析老年人照护服务需求,是建立长期护理保险制度最关键的基础工作。在前期对多种来源数据比较分析的基础上,借鉴日本介护保险制度实施的现实数据,综合研究得出:我国目前有不同程度照护需求的老年人约3541万人,其中,一般性照护需求的老年人1854万人;中等照护需求的老年人656万人;长期护理需求的失能老年人1031万人,这是养老服务的重点人群和长期护理保险服务的重点对象。长期护理保险制度建设和实施,对提升老年人福利水平和促进养老相关产业发展,都具有重要作用。Advancing the establishment of a long-term care insurance system has become one of the most important tasks in the field of people's livelihood and well-being in China.However,conducting accurate and comprehensive assessments of data on elderly individuals with disabilities and analyzing the demand for elderly care services are crucial foundational prerequisites for establishing such a system.Based on a comparative analysis of data from multiple sources,and drawing on practical data from Japan's long-term care insurance system,comprehensive research has concluded that there are approximately 35.41 million senior citizens in China with varying degrees of care needs.Specifically,18.54 million require basic general care,6.56 million need moderate levels of care services,and 10.31 million have activity limitation requiring long-term care.They constitute the key population for elderly care services and the primary targets for long-term care insurance services.In conclusion,the establishment and implementation of a long-term care insurance system in China play a pivotal role in improving elderly welfare and fostering the growth of eldercare-related industries.

关 键 词：失能老年人 数据分析 长期护理保险 老年人福 

分 类 号：C913.6[经济管理]