新质生产力与人才集聚的互动关系研究  

Research on Interactive Relationship between New Quality Productivity and Talent Agglomeration

作　　者：王亚晨 冯鹏飞 李博文 万斯斯 康洋鸣 WANG Yachen;FENG Pengfei;LI Bowen;WAN Sisi;KANG Yangming(Institute of Geographical Sciences,Henan Academy of Sciences,Zhengzhou 450052,China;Henan Society of Natural Resources,Zhengzhou 450052,China;State Grid Henan Electric Power Research Institute,Zhengzhou 450052,China;School of Mechanical Engineering,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084,China)

机构地区：[1]河南省科学院地理研究所,郑州450052 [2]河南省自然资源学会,郑州450052 [3]国网河南省电力公司电力科学研究院,郑州450052 [4]清华大学机械工程学院,北京100084

出　　处：《地域研究与开发》2025年第2期18-27,共10页Areal Research and Development

基　　金：河南省软科学研究计划项目(242400411182);河南科技智库调研课题(HNKJZK-2025-133B);河南省科学院科技智库研究项目(230701002);河南省科学院青年博士科研启动经费项目(231801030);河南省科学院高水平成果奖励与培育项目(项目支持类)(25);河南省科学院特聘研究员项目(220501003)。

摘　　要：基于2010-2022年我国30个省份的面板数据,利用面板向量自回归模型和数据包络方法,探究新质生产力与人才集聚的关系。结果表明:(1)我国新质生产力水平和人才集聚程度逐年提高,空间分布均呈现由东向西阶梯式递减的态势。人才集聚对新质生产力的提升有正向作用,新质生产力的提升也反过来推动人才集聚,且人才集聚短期强化效果更强。(2)新质生产力受到其自身的冲击影响,新质生产力的“马太效应”明显;对人才集聚维持长期的非负反应。(3)“虹吸”效应下人才集聚的强化作用增强;极短期内人才集聚正向冲击新质生产力,但随后人才集聚对新质生产力冲击非正,可能是由于人才结构与地区发展、产业结构错配造成人才结构失衡、人才内耗等问题引起的。因此,要牢固树立人才集聚引领新质生产力的战略地位,基于地区产业结构和技术结构,优化人才竞争和培养环境,调整人才结构,适当引导人才集聚,有针对性地打造现代化经济体系,革新生产技术和生产方式,探索数字化发展模式,发展科技生产力、绿色生产力和数字生产力。Based on panel data from 30 provinces in China from 2010 to 2022,this article explores the relationship between new quality productivity and talent agglomeration using PVAR and BCC-O models.The results show that:(1)The level of new quality productivity and talent agglomeration in China have been increasing year by year,and the spatial distribution shows a stepwise decreasing trend from east to west.Talent aggregation has a positive effect on the improvement of new quality productivity,and the improvement of new quality productivity also drives talent aggregation,and the short-term strengthening effect of talent aggregation is stronger.(2)The new quality productivity is affected by its own impact,and the“Matthew effect”of the development of new quality productivity is obvious,maintaining a long-term non negative response to talent aggregation.(3)The strengthening effect of talent aggregation under the“siphon”effect is enhanced;In the very short term,talent agglomeration has a positive impact on new quality productivity,but later on,the impact of talent agglomeration on new quality productivity is not positive,which may be caused by the imbalance of talent structure and regional development,industrial structure mismatch,talent internal consumption and other problems.Therefore,it is necessary to firmly establish the strategic position of talent aggregation leading new quality productivity,adjust the talent structure based on regional industrial and technological structure,appropriately guide talent aggregation,and develop scientific and technological productivity,green productivity,and digital productivity through targeted efforts to build a modern economic system,innovate production technology and methods,and explore digital development models.

关 键 词：新质生产力 人才集聚 面板向量自回归模型 数据包络方法 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]