河南省区域科技创新能力测度、时空演化及障碍因子  

Regional Scientific and Technological Innovation Capability Measurement,Spatiotemporal Evolution and Its Obstacle Factors in Henan Province

作　　者：牛继强 程启先 刘萧倩 许琼珂 陈飞燕 NIU Jiqiang;CHENG Qixian;LIU Xiaoqian;XU Qiongke;CHEN Feiyan(School of Geographic Sciences,Xinyang Normal University,Xinyang 464000,China;Henan Key Technology Engineering Research Center of Microwave Remote Sensing and Resource Environment Monitoring,Xinyang Normal University,Xinyang 464000,China;The College of Geography and Environmental Science,Henan University,Kaifeng 475004,China)

机构地区：[1]信阳师范大学地理科学学院,河南信阳464000 [2]信阳师范大学河南省微波遥感及资源环境监测工程研究中心,河南信阳464000 [3]河南大学地理与环境学院,河南开封475001

出　　处：《地域研究与开发》2025年第2期64-71,共8页Areal Research and Development

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41771438);河南省自然科学基金(重点科学基金)项目(252300421290);河南省研究生教育改革与质量提升工程项目(HNYJS2020JD14);河南省自然科学基金项目(222300420277);信阳师范大学研究生科研创新基金项目(2022KYJJ018)。

摘　　要：区域科技创新能力是区域经济转型与可持续发展的重要保障。以河南省为研究区域,运用CV-RSR-ARIMA模型、标准差椭圆模型与障碍度诊断模型等研究方法,对河南省区域科技创新能力评价及时空演化展开实证研究。结果表明:(1)河南省整体区域科技创新能力呈现出波动上升趋势,各地市的评价结果具有一定的地域分异规律,ARIMA预测结果表明预测时段具有较为显著的增长;(2)时空分异结果呈现出由“一主一副”双核心模式的极化效应向扩散和回程效应转变,标准差椭圆整体上椭圆范围增大、重心由郑州市向许昌市迁移,障碍度诊断结果表明技术市场成交额、专利授权数、企业新产品销售收入等是主要的障碍因子;(3)区域科技创新能力是一个地区具备科技创新的综合能力,后续研究应当结合多源数据对区域科技创新效率、科技产出空间溢出以及创新能力影响因素等内容展开深入研究。Regional scientific and technological innovation capability is an important guarantee for regional economic transformation and sustainable development.This study took Henan Province as the research area and used research methods including CV-RSR-ARIMA model,standard deviation ellipse model,and obstacle diagnosis model to conduct empirical research on the evaluation and spatiotemporal evolution of regional scientific and technological innovation capability in Henan Province.The results show that:(1)The overall regional scientific and technological innovation capacity of Henan Province shows a fluctuating upward trend,and the evaluation results of various cities indicate a certain regional differentiation pattern,and the ARIMA results indicate that the prediction period has a significant growth;(2)The spatiotemporal differentiation results show that the polarization effect of the dual core model of“one primary and one secondary”has changed to the diffusion and backhaul effect.The standard deviation ellipse on the whole has increased,and the center of gravity has moved from Zhengzhou to Xuchang,while the obstacle degree diagnosis results show that technology market transaction volume,number of patent authorizations,and sales revenue of new products for enterprises are the main obstacle factors;(3)Regional scientific and technological innovation capability is a comprehensive capability of a region with scientific and technological innovation,subsequent research should combine multi-source data to conduct in-depth research on regional scientific and technological innovation efficiency,spillover of scientific and technological output space,and factors affecting innovation capability.

关 键 词：区域科技创新能力 新质生产力 创新驱动战略 时空演化 CV-RSR-ARIMA模型 河南省 

分 类 号：F124.3[经济管理—世界经济] F062.3