宁夏新型城镇化与生态环境建设脱钩关系及驱动因素研究  

Research on Decoupling Relationship and Driving Factors between New Urbanization and Ecological Environment Construction in Ningxia

作　　者：隋明强 黄奕晗 哈梅芳[1] SUI Mingqiang;HUANG Yihan;HA Meifang(School of Economics and Management,Ningxia University,Yinchuan 750021,China)

机构地区：[1]宁夏大学经济管理学院,银川750021

出　　处：《地域研究与开发》2025年第2期72-77,92,共7页Areal Research and Development

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(72364029)。

摘　　要：以宁夏县域层面2015-2021年的新型城镇化与生态环境建设情况为样本,对两者进行综合测度,利用Tapio脱钩弹性模型并引入地理探测器模型中的因子分析法,深入探讨宁夏新型城镇化与生态环境建设的脱钩协调情况以及驱动因素。结果表明:(1)宁夏新型城镇化与生态环境建设发展整体呈现增长态势,但两者存在的区域差异较大且不同步的特点。(2)两者在整体上呈现出脱钩与负脱钩波动的特征,在宁夏新型城镇化与生态环境建设发展过程中,各县区更加注重新型城镇化发展,忽视了生态环境建设。(3)在决定宁夏新型城镇化与生态环境建设脱钩关系的主导因子中,生态环境建设系统占60%,且生态环境建设系统的影响因子综合排序更高,对脱钩关系的解释效果更强,表明生态环境建设对县域新型城镇化与生态环境建设脱钩关系的影响较大。Balancing the relationship between urban development and ecological environmental protection has become a significant issue in advancing the new urbanization process with county towns serving as important carriers.Using data from 2015 to 2021 at the county level in Ningxia as a sample,this study conducts a comprehensive measurement of both new urbanization and ecological environmental development.The Tapio decoupling elasticity model is applied,and factor analysis from the geographical detector model is introduced to explore the decoupling coordination between new urbanization and ecological environmental development in Ningxia as well as the driving factors.The findings are as follows:(1)Both new urbanization and ecological environmental development in Ningxia exhibit an overall growth trend,but there are significant regional disparities and asynchronous development between the two.(2)Overall,the relationship between the two presents fluctuating characteristics of decoupling and negative decoupling.In the process of new urbanization and ecological environmental development in Ningxia,county-level regions place more emphasis on urbanization development while relatively neglecting ecological environmental development.(3)Among the dominant factors determining the decoupling relationship between new urbanization and ecological environmental development,the ecological environmental system accounts for 60%,and its influencing factors rank higher overall,providing a stronger explanatory effect for the decoupling relationship.This indicates that ecological environmental development has a significant impact on the decoupling relationship between county-level new urbanization and ecological environmental protection.

关 键 词：新型城镇化 生态环境建设 脱钩 驱动因素 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济] F292