区域宏观经济发展走势探微——以山东烟台市为例  

Exploration of the Development Trend of Regional Macroeconomy:A Case Study of Yantai City of Shandong Province

作　　者：邵慧燕 SHAO Huiyan(Yingke Law School,Ludong University,Yantai 264039,China)

机构地区：[1]鲁东大学盈科法学院,山东烟台264039

出　　处：《鲁东大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2025年第2期83-89,共7页Ludong University Journal:Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition

基　　金：烟台市社会科学规划研究项目“烟台市宏观经济及发展特点分析”(YTSK-2023-010)。

摘　　要：比较2023年、2024年上半年国民经济统计公报和地区统计中与经济运行有关的数据得出:国内生产总值呈平稳增长态势,CPI相对稳定,PPI预示通缩,消费、出口和投资稳步恢复,产业结构呈现“三、二、一”趋势,失业率稍高;烟台经济强势复苏持续平稳向好,地区生产总值稳定增长,CPI涨幅稳定无高通胀风险,消费、出口和投资发展稳定略有波动,产业结构呈现“三、二、一”趋势,失业率处于正常范围。对比烟台与青岛、济南三地经济运行情况,烟台地区生产总值仍有进步空间,烟台消费、出口亟待进一步发展,第一产业比重偏高,第三产业比重偏低。推动烟台宏观经济的发展应当从以下三方面着手,制定相关政策,刺激消费需求;利用自身优势,加大出口力度;调整产业结构,发展第三产业。A comparative analysis of the data related to economic operation in the National Economic Statistics Bulletin and regional statistics of 2023 and the first half year of 2024 reveals the following economic trends.China's GDP shows a steady growth trend,CPI is relatively stable,PPI indicates deflationary pressures,consumption,export and investment show steady recovery,industrial structure demonstrates a“tertiary-secondary-primary”trend,and unemployment rate is slightly high.Yantai s economy continues its robust recovery and stable development,which is characterized by consistent GDP growth,manageable CPI increases without high inflation risks,stable yet slightly fluctuating consumption,export and investment performance,the same“tertiary-secondary-primary”industrial structure,and unemployment rates within normal ranges.In comparison with the economic performance among Yantai,Qingdao and Jinan,Yantai shows potential for GDP improvement,its consumption and export are urgent to be further developed,the primary industry proportion is relatively higher,and the tertiary industry proportion is relatively lower.In order to promote Yantai's macroeconomic development,the following three recommendations are proposed:formulating the related policies to stimulate consumption demand,leveraging regional advantages to strengthen export efforts,and adjusting industrial structure to develop the tertiary industry.

关 键 词：宏观经济 区域经济 发展走势 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]