山东省环境治理效率时空动态特征及其驱动因素分析  

The Spatial-Temporal Dynamic Characteristics of Environmental Governance Efficiency and Its Driving Mechanisms in Shandong Province

作　　者：王彦奇 董元花 WANG Yanqi;DONG Yuanhua(School of Continuing Education,Weifang Engineering Vocational College,Weifang Shandong 262500,China;College of Horticulture,Shandong Agricultural University,Tai’an Shandong 271000,China)

机构地区：[1]潍坊工程职业学院继续教育学院,山东潍坊262500 [2]山东农业大学园艺学院,山东泰安271000

出　　处：《德州学院学报》2025年第2期70-77,共8页Journal of Dezhou University

摘　　要：采用Super-SBM模型测算山东省2013~2022年16个地级市的环境治理效率,并运用标准差椭圆法(SDE)刻画其动态演进路径。在此基础上选取时空地理加权回归(GTWR)模型探究其背后的驱动机理,并运用三维核密度(KDE)和ArcGIS动态可视化技术对驱动因素进行时空动态分析。结果表明:山东省环境治理效率整体呈“W”型分布,2013~2022年间都未达到均值有效。从空间上看,环境治理效率呈集聚态势,其中经济发展对烟台、威海及鲁北部分城市有促进作用,对其他地区具有阻碍作用。人口因素促进了威海市的治理效率但不利于其他城市。政府投入阻碍了烟台、威海、济南、泰安和济宁的治理效率,但却使其他城市得到了有效提升。能源消耗对青岛和鲁南地区部分城市具有促进作用,对其他地区则具有阻碍作用。最后根据结论提出相关建议,为有效提升山东省环境治理效率提供了一定的改进方向。This study assessed the environmental governance efficiency of 16 prefecture-level cities in Shandong Province from 2013 to 2022 using the super-efficiency slack-based model(Super-SBM),and depicted their dynamics evolution pathsthrough the standard deviation ellipse(SDE)method.Based on this,the Geographically and TemporallyWeighted Regression(GTWR)model was applied to explore the driving mechanism behind it,while the three-dimensional kernel density diagram(KDE)and ArcGIS visualization techniques were used for spatio temporal dynamic.Results show that the overall environmental governance efficiency in Shandong Province follows a“W”shape distribution,and has not yet reached the mean effective value over the past decade.Spatially,the efficiency of environmental governance shows a clustering trend,in which economic development has a facilitating effect on Yantai,Weihai and some cities in northern Shandong,and a hindering effect on other areas.Demographic factors promote the governance efficiency of Weihai but are unfavorable to other cities.Government investment hindered governance efficiency in Yantai,Weihai,Jinan,Tai’an and Jining,but enables other cities to be effectively promoted.Energy consumption has a facilitating effect on Qingdao and some cities in southern Shandong,but an hindering effect on other areas.This study can provide some empirical and theoretical referencesfor effectively enhancing the efficiency of environmental governance in Shandong Province.

关 键 词：环境治理效率 Super-SBM模型 GTWR模型 驱动机理 山东省 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]