“人才-科技-产业”三链协同下中国新质生产力发展路径研究——基于动态QCA方法的实证检验  

The Development Path of Chinese New Quality Productivity Under the Three-Chain Collaboration of“Talent-Science and Technology-Industry”--An Empirical Test Based on Dynamic QCA Method

作　　者：李亚玲[1] 饶静 Li Yaling;Rao Jing(School of Business and Tourism Management,Yunnan University,Kunming 650500,China)

机构地区：[1]云南大学工商管理与旅游管理学院,昆明650500

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2025年第5期33-42,共10页Journal of Industrial Technology and Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“新常态下人力资本空间分布优化与地区经济协调发展研究”(项目编号:18XYJ005);2024年云南省哲学社会科学规划“党的二十届三中全会精神研究专项”项目“城乡融合发展视域下云南乡村基本公共服务均等化水平提升研究”(项目编号:ZX2024YB41)。

摘　　要：本文基于“人才-科技-产业”三链协同理论框架,以2014~2023年我国30个省(区、市)为样本,运用动态QCA方法深入探究“人才-科技-产业”复杂生态系统下各省(区、市)发展新质生产力的最优适配路径。研究发现,新质生产力发展存在5条有效组态路径,在不同地区与不同时期各显成效;产业基础、科技产出、科技投入、人才储备、人才培育、“三链”协同为新质生产力发展的6个关键核心条件,其中“三链”协同是唯一一个在5条高组态路径中均未缺失的条件,表现出其对新质生产力发展的核心支撑作用。本文为剖析新质生产力的驱动因素及其在不同地区、不同时期的实践路径提供了理论依据和实证支持,为制定因地制宜、因时制宜发展新质生产力的政策提供了有益建议。Based on the three-chain collaborative theoretical framework of“talent,science and technology,industry”,this paper uses dynamic QCA method to deeply explore the optimal adaptation path of new quality productivity development in the complex ecosystem of talents,science and technology,industry in 30 provinces(municipalities and districts)in China range from 2014 to 2023.It is found that there are six effective configuration paths for the development of new quality productivity,which have obvious effects in different regions and different periods.Industrial base,science and technology output,science and technology input,talent reserve,talent cultivation,and“three chains”coordination are the six key core conditions for the development of new quality productivity,among which“three chains”coordination is the only condition that is not missing in five high configuration paths,showing its core supporting role in the development of new quality productivity.This study provides theoretical basis and empirical support for analyzing the driving factors of new quality productivity and its practice paths in different regions,and provides useful suggestions for formulating policies to develop new quality productivity according to local conditions and times.

关 键 词：“人才-科技-产业” 三链协同 新质生产力 因地制宜 因时制宜 动态 QCA 方法 多 元组态路径 复杂生态系统 区域经济 

分 类 号：F061[经济管理—政治经济学]