碳捕集技术经济性评价综述与展望  

Review and Prospect of Economic Evaluation of Carbon Capture Technology in China

作　　者：杜强[1,2] 李琦 黄馨[3] 吴琴[1,2] 李士栋 李毅 DU Qiang;LI Qi;HUANG Xin;WU Qin;LI Shidong;LI Yi(School of Economics and Management,Chang’an University,Xi’an Shaanxi 710061,China;Center for Green Sustainable and Engineering Development,Chang’an University,Xi’an Shaanxi 710061,China;School of Land Engineering,Chang’an University,Xi’an Shaanxi 710061,China;School of Transportation Engineering,Chang’an University,Xi’an Shaanxi 710061,China)

机构地区：[1]长安大学经济与管理学院,陕西西安710061 [2]长安大学绿色工程与可持续发展研究中心,陕西西安710061 [3]长安大学土地工程学院,陕西西安710061 [4]长安大学运输工程学院,陕西西安710061

出　　处：《生态经济》2025年第5期219-227,共9页Ecological Economy

基　　金：陕西省教育厅科学研究计划项目“城市公共交通系统碳排放效率测度及优化研究”(21JP010);陕西省重点研发计划项目“碳中和目标下碳排放与生物多样性保护关键技术研究——以陕西省为例”(2022ZDLSF07-05);中央高校基本科研业务费专项“陕西省碳捕集经济性评估”(300102352203)。

摘　　要：中国作为全球主要温室气体排放国之一,积极响应国际碳减排号召,力求实现碳中和。碳捕集技术作为碳捕集、利用与封存(CCUS)技术的关键环节,对于碳中和的实现具有重要作用。论文基于WOS和CNKI数据库,通过VOSviewer分析碳捕集相关文献的文章数量、发文期刊等指标数据,得到当下主流的碳捕集方法,梳理其技术特点及发展现状,并结合碳捕集技术经济性评价相关研究,分析我国碳捕集技术经济性评价现状与问题,提出针对性建议。结果表明,燃烧前捕集系统累计投资6870×10^(8)元,到2060年燃烧前捕集技术的成本有望降低至40~80元/吨CO_(2);燃烧后捕集技术累计投资为5290×10~8元,到2060年燃烧后捕集技术的成本可降低至70~120元/吨CO_(2);富氧燃烧技术累计投资为5570×10^(8)元,该技术捕集成本较高,接近500元/吨CO_(2)。As one of the world’s major greenhouse gas(GHG)emitters,China has actively responded to the international call for carbon emission reduction and is striving to achieve carbon neutrality.Carbon capture technology,as a key link of carbon capture,utilization and storage(CCUS)technology,plays an important role in the realization of carbon neutrality.Based on WOS and CNKI databases,this thesis analyzes the number of articles,journals and other indexes of carbon capture related literature through VOSviewer,obtains the mainstream carbon capture methods nowadays,combs through their technical characteristics and development status,and combines with the relevant research on the economic evaluation of carbon capture technology,analyzes the current situation and problems of the economic evaluation of carbon capture technology in China,and puts forward targeted suggestions.The results show that the cumulative investment in pre-combustion capture system is 687 billion yuan,and the cost of pre-combustion capture technology is expected to be reduced to 40-80 yuan/tCO_(2)by 2060;The cumulative investment in post-combustion capture technology is 529 billion yuan,and the cost of post-combustion capture technology can be reduced to 70-120 yuan/tCO_(2)by 2060;The cumulative investment in oxygen-enriched combustion technology is 557 billion yuan,and the cost of capture of this technology is higher,close to 500 yuan/tCO_(2).

关 键 词：二氧化碳捕集 经济性分析 CCUS VOSviewer分析 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]