酒店建筑火灾风险评价建模及实证分析  

Modeling and empirical analysis of hotel building fire risk assessment

作　　者：张立宁 国蛟倩 安晶[2] 庄鑫 ZHANG Lining;GUO Jiaoqian;AN Jing;ZHUANG Xin(School of Civil Architecture Engineering,North China Institute of Science and Technology,Yanjiao 065201,China;School of Electronic and Information Engineering,North China Institute of Science and Technology,Yanjiao 065201,China)

机构地区：[1]华北科技学院建筑工程学院,北京东燕郊065201 [2]华北科技学院电信工程学院,北京东燕郊065201

出　　处：《华北科技学院学报》2025年第2期97-106,共10页Journal of North China Institute of Science and Technology

基　　金：国家重点研发计划项目资助(2022YFC3005701);河北省国际合作基地项目资助(20594501D);河北省教育厅科研项目资助(Z2020117;2021GJJG479)。

摘　　要：为提高酒店类建筑火灾风险评价的准确性,构建一种基于粗糙集与物元可拓法的酒店火灾风险评价模型。本文依据《建筑防火通用规范》,结合文献及典型事件分析,建立酒店火灾风险评价体系,该体系包括一级指标4个、二级指标16个。为降低指标体系的数据冗杂性,引入粗糙集理论对指标体系进行属性约简并赋权值。在此基础上引入物元可拓方法,解决评价指标间的不相容以及指标量化的模糊性和不确定性,通过火灾风险等级变量特征值,给出待评酒店趋于某一等级的程度,使评价结果更精确。最后,以三河市某酒店为例,进行实证分析,并与传统层次分析法的评价结果进行对比。研究结果表明:本文所构建的评价模型可行有效。研究结果可为酒店类建筑的火灾风险评价和消防安全管理工作提供参考。In order to improve the accuracy of hotel building fire risk assessment,a hotel fire risk assessment model based on rough set and matter-element extension reliability method is constructed.Based on the General Code for Building Fire Protection,combined with literature and typical event analysis,this paper establishes a hotel fire risk assessment system,which includes 4 first-level indicators and 16 second-level indicators.In order to reduce the data redundancy of the index system,the rough set theory is introduced to reduce the attribute and assign weight to the index system.On this basis,the matter-element extension method is introduced to solve the incompatibility of evaluation indexes and the ambiguity and uncertainty of quantification of indexes in fire evaluation.Through the characteristic values of fire risk grade variables,the degree to which the hotel to be evaluated tends to a certain grade was given to make the evaluation result more accurate.Finally,taking a hotel in Sanhe City as an example,the empirical analysis was carried out,and the evaluation results were compared with the traditional analytic hierarchy process.The results show that the evaluation model constructed in this paper is feasible and effective.The research results can provide reference for fire risk assessment and fire safety management of hotel buildings.

关 键 词：酒店火灾 粗糙集理论 物元可拓法 火灾风险评价 实例分析 

分 类 号：X932[环境科学与工程—安全科学]