“丝绸之路经济带”背景下中国与土库曼斯坦商品贸易竞合关系及对策研究  

Research on the Competitive and Cooperative Relationship and Countermeasures of Commodity Trade between China and Turkmenistan under the Silk Road Economic Belt

作　　者：郭辉[1] 苏丽娅·阿布都艾尼 GUO Hui;ABUDUAINI Suliya

机构地区：[1]新疆师范大学,新疆乌鲁木齐830017

出　　处：《东北亚经济研究》2025年第2期20-37,共18页Northeast Asia Economic Research

基　　金：2022年新疆自然科学基金面上项目“丝绸之路经济带核心区与中亚五国深化经贸合作的提升路径研究”(2022D01A205);兰州大学中亚研究所2024年度开放课题“中亚五国特殊经济区(SEZS)布局及中国推进合作的国别方案研究”(ICASND2024003)。

摘　　要：2023年中土两国建立了全面战略伙伴关系,旨在扩大贸易规模并促进贸易结构多元化。根据联合国商品贸易统计数据库的数据,分析了两国商品贸易的出口相似度、比较优势、产业内贸易和贸易互补性优势。结果显示,两国在比较优势产品上差异较大,贸易竞争性较低,且产业内贸易水平较低,主要以产业间贸易为主。中国在劳动密集型及资本和技术密集型工业制成品上占优势,而土库曼斯坦在天然气、棉花等初级产品上具有优势。总体来看,中土双边贸易,互补性优势明显,未来可在天然气深加工与农业及农产品加工领域深化贸易合作。In 2023,China and Turkmenistan established a comprehensive strategic partnership,aimed at expanding the scale of trade and diversifying trade structures.Based on the data from UN Comtrade Database,this paper analyzes the export similarity,comparative advantage,intra-industry trade,and trade complementarity advantage in commodity trade between the two countries.The results reveal significant differences in comparative advantage products,low trade competitiveness,and a low level of intra-industry trade,mainly dominated by inter-industry.China has advantages in labor-intensive and capital and technology intensive industrial products,while Turkmenistan holds strengths in primary products such as natural gas and cotton.Overall,the bilateral trade between China and Turkmenistan has obvious complementary advantages,and in the future,trade cooperation can be deepened in the fields of natural gas deep processing and agriculture and agricultural product processing.

关 键 词：土库曼斯坦 商品贸易 贸易结合度指数 显示性比较优势指数 贸易互补性指数 

分 类 号：F752.7[经济管理—国际贸易] F753.6[经济管理—产业经济]