当前世界新造船市场总结与展望  

Summary and Outlook of Global New Shipbuilding Market

作　　者：曹博 CAO Bo(China Association of National Shipbuilding Industry,Beijing 100861,China)

机构地区：[1]中国船舶工业行业协会,北京100861

出　　处：《船舶》2025年第2期28-36,共9页Ship & Boat

基　　金：国家部委重点专项(CBZ03N23)。

摘　　要：2024年的世界新造船市场实现了历史性增长,新接订单量、完工订单量和手持订单量这三大造船指标,分别创下了2007年、2012年和2010年以来的新高。中国造船业持续引领全球行业发展,主要指标也创造历史新高,巩固了全球造船业领导者的地位。自此轮市场复苏以来,受内外部因素影响,世界新造船市场迎来新的里程碑,未来市场走势成为造船业及上下游行业的关注焦点。因此,分析影响新造船市场的因素,量化潜在变量,研判未来走势,并稳定各界对船舶工业可持续发展的预期,成为市场与产业研究的重要工作。该文通过总结2024年世界新造船市场发展情况,分析可能会影响2025年市场发展的因素,科学预测未来市场走势,为行业稳定发展提供参考。The global new shipbuilding market achieved historic growth in 2024,with three major shipbuilding indicators of new order,completions and orderbook reaching highs since 2007,2012,and 2010,respectively.China's shipbuilding industry continues to lead global growth,setting new historical records in main indicators and consolidating its leadership position in global shipbuilding.Since the onset of market recovery,driven by both internal and external factors,the global new shipbuilding market has been on the rise,reaching new milestones.The future market trend has become a critical focus for the shipbuilding industry and its upstream and downstream sectors.Analyzing the factors that influence the new shipbuilding market,quantifying potential variables,forecasting market trends,and stabilizing the expectations of sustainable development in the shipbuilding industry have become important tasks in the research of the market and industry.It provides a reference for the stable development of the ship industry by reviewing the development of the global new shipbuilding market in 2024,analyzing the influencing factors in 2025,and predicting future trends.

关 键 词：新造船市场 市场影响因素 市场展望 风险与挑战 

分 类 号：F416.474[经济管理—产业经济]