新质生产力和体育内需协调发展的驱动机制与提升路径研究  

Driving Mechanism and Enhancement Path of Coordinated Development of New Quality Productivity and Domestic Demand for Sports

作　　者：尹钰潼 白胜超 王兆红[1] YIN Yutong;BAI Shengchao;WANG Zhaohong(School of P.E.and Sports,Beijing Normal University,Beijing 100875,China;Dept.of Sport,Nanjing University of Science and Technology,Nanjing 210094,Jiangsu,China)

机构地区：[1]北京师范大学体育与运动学院,北京100875 [2]南京理工大学体育部,江苏南京210094

出　　处：《山东体育学院学报》2025年第2期12-22,44,共12页Journal of Shandong Sport University

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目(编号:22ATY003)。

摘　　要：该研究基于2014—2022年的省份面板数据,评估我国新质生产力和体育内需的耦合协调发展状况,并采用动态QCA方法探索驱动新质生产力和体育内需协同发展的组态路径及其动态变化过程。研究发现:体育消费、体育投资、劳动力、劳动对象和劳动资料均无法单独构成新质生产力和体育内需高耦合协调的必要条件;新质生产力和体育内需高耦合协调发展路径可以归纳为“体育消费+劳动者+劳动对象”联动型、“体育消费+劳动资料”引领型和“体育投资+新质生产力全要素”驱动型三种类型;新质生产力和体育内需的耦合协调发展是多元内因协同作用的结果,且各因素之间存在替代效应;在时间维度上各组态呈现出明显的路径依赖特征,在空间维度上各省份存在着一定的组态偏好差异。进而,提出了推动新质生产力和体育内需耦合协调发展的优化路径:因势利导优结构,双系统耦合增效能;消费引领促升级,要素集聚强动能;巩固新质生产力优势,提振体育内需潜力。Based on the 2014-2022 provincial panel data,this study evaluated the coupling and coordinated development of new quality productivity and sports domestic demand in China,and used the dynamic QCA method to explore the configuration path and dynamic change process driving the coordinated development of new quality productivity and sports domestic demand.The results show that sports consumption,sports investment,labor force,labor object and labor data can not constitute the necessary conditions for the high coupling coordination degree of new quality productivity and sports domestic demand alone.The highly coupled and coordinated development path of the two can be summarized into three types:"sports consumption+labor+labor object"coupling type,"sports consumption+labor data"leading type and"sports investment+new quality productivity full factor"driving type.The coordinated development of new quality productivity and sports demand is the result of the synergistic effect of multiple internal factors,and there are substitution effects among each factor.In terms of time dimension,each state presents obvious path-dependent characteristics,and in terms of space dimension,there are some differences in configuration preferences among provinces.Then,the optimization path of promoting the coordinated development of new quality productivity and sports domestic demand is put forward:Leverage the situation to optimize structure,increase efficiency through dual-system coupling;lead with consumption to promote upgrading,strengthen momentum with the aggregation of factors;consolidate the advantage of new-quality productive forces,boost the potential of domestic demand in sports.

关 键 词：新质生产力 体育内需 耦合协调 动态QCA 体育消费 体育投资 

分 类 号：G80-052[文化科学—运动人体科学]