教育结对帮扶的有效性及溢出效应:基于第六、七次全国人口普查数据的分析  

The Effectiveness and Spillover Effect of Education Pairing Assistance:Analysis Based on the Data of the Sixth and Seventh National Population Censuses

作　　者：徐明 XU Ming(School of Economics and Trade,Guangdong University of Foreign Studies)

机构地区：[1]广东外语外贸大学经济贸易学院,510006 [2]广东外语外贸大学粤港澳大湾区研究院、大湾区建设与区域协调发展重点实验室,510006

出　　处：《经济理论与经济管理》2025年第3期1-20,共20页Economic Theory and Business Management

基　　金：国家社科基金一般项目(24BJL043)的资助。

摘　　要：本文基于2011年和2014年以来两次大型省际结对帮扶云南、四川、甘肃和青海四省涉藏县市(以下简称四省藏区)政策的准自然实验,使用第六次、第七次全国人口普查县级数据和双重差分方法,实证分析了教育结对帮扶的有效性和溢出效应。研究发现,教育结对帮扶显著提升了四省藏区教育维度人力资本积累水平,为脱贫攻坚时期阻断贫困代际传递发挥了关键作用,同时也可为现阶段四省藏区巩固拓展脱贫攻坚成果和防止返贫“赋能”,激发内生动力和活力,实现可持续发展。由于劳动力技能具有互补性,教育结对帮扶引致的人力资本提升可以同时促进高技能和低技能人员向城市集聚和就业,有利于推进以县域为载体和“以人为核心”的新型城镇化,因而教育结对帮扶也可为四省藏区新型城镇化建设“增能”,发挥政策的间接“溢出效应”。Pairing assistance is an institutional and practical innovation.Through education pairing assistance,poverty-stricken areas and areas prone to returning to poverty can promote the accumulation of human capital,which can empower and increase efforts to prevent returning to poverty and achieve sustainable development.This paper is based on the quasi natural experiment of the policy of two large-scale inter provincial paired assistance to Tibetan related counties and cities in Yunnan,Sichuan,Gansu and Qinghai provinces(hereinafter referred to as“four provinces and Tibetan areas”)since 2011 and 2014,and uses the county-level data of the sixth and seventh national population censuses and the DID method to empirically analyze the effectiveness and spillover effects of education paired assistance.This study found that,firstly,compared to the control group,the education pairing assistance targeting the Tibetan areas of the four provinces significantly increased the average years of education in local counties and cities.The improvement of human capital in the education dimension is conducive to consolidating poverty alleviation achievements and preventing the risk of returning to poverty in Tibetan areas.Heterogeneity analysis shows that education pairing assistance can effectively achieve balanced development of urban and rural education,but the precision of policies is still insufficient.Secondly,paired assistance in the field of education can help promote the level of new urbanization in the Tibetan areas of the four provinces.This is a policy“spillover effect”caused by the paired assistance mechanism in education,which is beneficial for promoting high-quality and sustainable development in Tibet in the medium and long term.The marginal contribution of this article lies in:Firstly,paired assistance is an institutional innovation,practical innovation,and governance innovation with Chinese characteristics.The empirical research on promoting paired assistance mechanisms in the field of education can explore the c

关 键 词：教育结对帮扶 人力资本积累 溢出效应 四省藏区 

分 类 号：F323.8[经济管理—产业经济]