空间流行病学方法应用于鼠疫防控实践的研究进展  

Research progress of spatial epidemiological methods applied in the plague prevention and control practices

作　　者：周小杰 安文静 席进孝[2] 王鼎盛[2] 姜璇 徐大琴[2] 郭丽民[2] Zhou Xiaojie;An Wenjing;Xi Jinxiao;Wang Dingsheng;Jiang Xuan;Xu Daqin;Guo Limin(School of Public Health,Gansu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine,Lanzhou 730000,China;Department of Plague Prevention and Control,Gansu Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Lanzhou 730020,China)

机构地区：[1]甘肃中医药大学公共卫生学院,兰州730000 [2]甘肃省疾病预防控制中心鼠疫防制科,兰州730020

出　　处：《中华地方病学杂志》2025年第3期241-247,共7页Chinese Journal of Endemiology

基　　金：甘肃省自然科学基金(21JR11RA181);甘肃省卫生健康行业科研计划项目(GSWSKY2021-055)。

摘　　要：鼠疫是一种自然疫源性传染病,动物鼠疫的发生是一种复杂的生物学现象,受宿主、媒介、地理景观、气候、人类活动等诸多因素影响,其流行规律具有时空特征。因此,鼠疫监测预警一直是鼠疫防控的关键,也是当前的研究热点。近年来,随着空间流行病学技术的发展,其在鼠疫防控中的应用更加广泛,并且在探索鼠疫时空关系、影响因素、监测预警等方面取得了显著成就。本文就空间流行病学方法在鼠疫疫情空间可视化、聚集性分析、影响因素探索、风险预测预警四方面的具体应用展开概述,旨在为鼠疫防控人员从空间流行病学角度进一步认识鼠疫的突发性、复杂性,揭示鼠疫流行规律,为鼠疫精准防控提供参考。The plague is a infectious disease of natural focus.The occurrence of animal plague is a complex biological phenomenon,which is affected by many factors such as hosts,vectors,geographical landscapes,climate,human activities and so on.Its epidemiological patterns exhibit spatial and temporal characteristics.Therefore,the plague monitoring and early warning has always been the key to plague prevention and control,and remains a current research hotspot.In recent years,with the advancement of spatial epidemiology technology,it has been increasingly applied in plague prevention and control,and has made remarkable achievements in exploring the spatio-temporal relationships,influencing factors,monitoring and early warning of the plague.This article provides an overview of specific applications of spatial epidemiological methods in four areas,including spatial visualization of plague outbreaks,aggregation analysis,exploration of influencing factors,risk prediction and early warning.It aims to offer insights for the plague prevention and control personnel to better understand the suddenness and complexity of the plague from the perspective of spatial epidemiology,to uncover the epidemiological patterns of the plague,and to provide a reference for precise plague prevention and control.

关 键 词：鼠疫 空间流行病学 空间分析 预测预警 

分 类 号：R516.8[医药卫生—内科学]