蒙晋陕煤炭足迹测算与经济增长低碳路径研究  

Calculation of coal footprint and research on low-carbon path of economic growth regards to Inner Mongolia-Shanxi-Shaanxi regions

作　　者：赵丽霞[1] 魏梦迪 ZHAO Lixia;WEI Mengdi(College of Economics and Management,Inner Mongolia Agricultural University,Hohhot O10010,China)

机构地区：[1]内蒙古农业大学经济管理学院,呼和浩特010010

出　　处：《干旱区资源与环境》2025年第4期13-21,共9页Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment

基　　金：内蒙古社会科学基金(2022DY03);国家自然科学基金(72163026);内蒙古自治区教育科学“十四五”规划课题(NGJGH2022142)资助。

摘　　要：在国际新能源安全格局下,能源不仅对国内经济的稳定增长至关重要,亦是增强国际竞争力的重要保障。为应对绿色经济低碳转型,文中应用Tapio脱钩指数模型,测算2006-2022年间煤炭足迹动态演化与经济增长脱钩弹性指数,探究煤炭足迹测算及经济增长驱动因素低碳路径,结果表明:1)2022年蒙晋陕煤炭足迹动态演化与经济增长的脱钩指数分别为8.244、3.94、5.741,均高于同期全国脱钩指数-3.865,蒙晋陕煤炭足迹动态演化与经济增长呈现出显著正相关,但对长期生态资源环境治理存在潜在风险。2)经测算,煤炭足迹对煤炭资源禀赋的贡献度为0.532,煤炭资源禀赋对经济增长的贡献率为0.654,而新质生产力对经济增长的影响度为0.551,进一步说明新质生产力是经济增长的“助推器”,而煤炭资源禀赋配置的公平性与合理性是经济增长的基础,为此培育煤炭产业发展新市场,释放煤炭产业发展新动能,增强丝绸之路经济带、海上丝绸之路等沿线国家交流合作,形成国际煤炭合作新秩序,对我国经济高质量发展起到积极的促进作用。Under the international new energy security framework,energy is not only crucial for the stable growth of the domestic economy,but also serves as a significant safeguard for enhancing international competitiveness.In order to cope with the low-carbon transformation of green economy,we apply the Tapio decoupling index model to measure the decoupling elasticity index of coal footprint dynamic evolution and economic growth from 2006 to 2022,and explore the coal footprint measurement and low-carbon path of economic growth drivers.The results show that:1)In 2022,the decoupling indexes between coal footprint and economic growth in Inner Mongolia,Shanxi and Shaanxi were 8.244,3.94,5.741,respectively,all of which were higher than the national decoupling index of-3.865 during the same period.The dynamic evolution of coal footprint in Inner Mongolia,Shanxi and Shaanxi shows a significant positive correlation with economic growth,but there are potential risks to long-term ecological resource and environment governance.2)According to the calculation,the contribution of coal footprint to coal resource endowment is 0.532,the contribution of coal resource endowment to economic growth is 0.654,and the influence of new quality productivity on economic growth is 0.551,which further shows that new quality productivity is the‘booster'of economic growth,and the fairness and rationality of coal resource endowment allocation is the basis of economic growth.Therefore,it is necessary to cultivate new markets for the development of coal industry,release new kinetic energy for the development of coal industry,enhance exchanges and cooperation among countries along the Silk Road Economic Belt and Maritime Silk Road,and form a new order of international coal cooperation.It plays a positive role in promoting the high-quality development of China's economy.

关 键 词：蒙晋陕 煤炭足迹 经济增长 低碳路径 测算 

分 类 号：F207[经济管理—国民经济] F062.2