数字经济与制造业产业链韧性:理论分析与实证检验  

Digital Economy and Manufacturing Industry Chain Resilience:Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Test

作　　者：刘伟 Liu Wei(School of Economics and Management,Zhengzhou Normal University,Zhengzhou 450044,China)

机构地区：[1]郑州师范学院经济与管理学院,郑州450044

出　　处：《统计与决策》2025年第8期5-10,共6页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：河南省高等学校青年骨干教师培养计划(2024GGJS143);河南省软科学项目(252400410447);河南省科技厅软科学研究计划项目(252400410389)。

摘　　要：文章基于2010—2023年中国31个省份的相关数据,构建动态面板模型和中介效应模型,实证检验数字经济与制造业产业链韧性间的关系及突破性创新的传导机制。结果表明:数字经济可通过推动突破性创新对制造业产业链韧性产生提升作用,且其细分维度数字产业化对制造业产业链韧性的提升作用较大,而数字基础设施、产业数字化的影响作用较小。异质性检验结果显示,数字经济对劳动密集型、技术密集型及资本密集型制造业产业链韧性均具有提升作用,且在劳动密集型制造业中影响效应最强;数字经济对中部和西部地区制造业产业链韧性的提升作用较强,对东部和东北地区则影响较小。Based on the data of 31 provinces in China from 2010 to 2023,this paper constructs a dynamic panel model and a mediation effect model to empirically test the relationship between digital economy and manufacturing industry chain resilience and the transmission mechanism of breakthrough innovation.The results show that digital economy can enhance the resilience of manufacturing industry chain by promoting breakthrough innovation,and that the digital industrialization of its subdivision dimension has a greater promotion effect on the resilience of manufacturing industry chain,while digital infrastructure and industrial digitalization have a smaller impact.Heterogeneity test results show that digital economy can enhance the industry chain resilience of labor-intensive,technology-intensive and capital-intensive manufacturing industries,that the impact is the strongest in labor-intensive manufacturing industries,and that digital economy has a strong role in enhancing the resilience of the manufacturing industry chain in the central and western regions,and a small impact on the eastern and northeast region.

关 键 词：数字经济 突破性创新 制造业产业链韧性 现代化产业体系 

分 类 号：F49[经济管理—产业经济] F424