创新能力与区域综合发展耦合协调的时空演进及空间分异研究——以我国七大区域省份为例  

Research on the Spatio-temporal Evolution and Spatial Differentiation of the Coupling Coordination Between Innovation Capacity and Regional Comprehensive Development—A Case Study of China’s Seven Major Regions

作　　者：黎诚劼 吕拉昌[1,2] LI Chengjie;LÜLachang(College of Resource Environment and Tourism,Capital Normal University,Beijing 100048;Beijing Urban innovation and Development Research Center,Beijing 100048)

机构地区：[1]首都师范大学资源环境与旅游学院,北京100048 [2]北京城市创新与发展研究中心,北京100048

出　　处：《中国科技资源导刊》2025年第2期72-83,共12页China Science & Technology Resources Review

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目“中国三大城市群创新机制与空间组织模式的比较研究”(41971201)。

摘　　要：基于2016—2021年我国七大区域省域数据,构建创新能力和区域综合发展评价指标体系,运用熵值法、耦合协调模型综合测算我国七大区域省份“创新能力—区域综合发展”系统的耦合协调度,再通过马尔可夫链和Dagum基尼系数揭示耦合协调的等级时空演进和空间分异特征。结果表明:(1)我国各省的耦合协调度总体呈波动中稳步上升的态势,七大区域的协调发展能力存在华东>华中>华北>华南>东北>西南>西北的空间分异;(2)各省存在一定“惯性”发展的趋势,各省等级正向转移难度存在基本失调>基本协调>严重失调的差异,大部分邻近省份等级转移存在一定的“俱乐部”趋同效应;(3)耦合协调度在全国范围内的总体差异呈波动中逐渐下降的趋势,在区域内,华南和西南地区发展不均衡程度较高,华中和东北地区区域内发展水平较为接近,而在区域之间,表现为较突出的“东—西”和“南—北”发展差距,西南地区正逐渐拉进与发达地区的差距,而东北地区发展乏力并逐渐落后。Based on the provincial data of China’s Seven Major Regions from 2016 to 2021,we constructed the evaluation index system of innovation capacity and comprehensive regional development,and used the entropy method and the coupling coordination model to comprehensively measure the coupling coordination degree of the system of“innovation capacity-comprehensive regional development”of each province in China’s Seven Major Regions.Then the spatiotemporal evolution and spatial differentiation characteristics of the coupling coordination level were revealed through Markov chains and Dagum Gini coefficients.The results indicate that:(1)The overall coupling and coordination degree of provinces in China shows a steady increase in fluctuation;there is a spatial differentiation in the coordinated development capacity of China’s Seven Major Regions,namely,East China>Central China>North China>South China>North-East China>South-West China>North-West China.(2)There is a certain trend of“inertia”in the development of each province,and the difficulty of positive transfer of the rank status of each province has the difference of basic disorder,basic coordination,and serious disorder;most of the neighboring provinces have a certain“club”convergence effect in their transfer of levels.(3)The overall difference in the degree of coupling coordination within the country shows a gradually decreasing trend in fluctuation;within the region,South China and Southwest China have a higher degree of unbalanced development,while Central China and Northeast China are closer to each other;between regions,there is a prominent“east-west”and“north-south”development gap,with Southwest China gradually pulling in the gap with the developed regions,while Northeast China is weak and lagging behind.

关 键 词：创新能力 区域综合发展 耦合协调模型 区域差异 

分 类 号：K902[历史地理—人文地理学]