省际贸易推动了中国制造业提质升级吗——基于出口技术复杂度视角  

Does Inter-provincial Trade Promote Quality Improvement and Upgrading of China's Manufacturing Industry--From the Perspective of Export Technology Complexity

作　　者：褚敏[1] 吕飞鸿 杨淋 CHU Min;LYU Feihong;YANG Lin

机构地区：[1]东北财经大学产业组织与企业组织研究中心

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2025年第4期158-174,共17页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“经济‘双循环’视阈下东北地区价值链提升的驱动机制与路径突破研究”(21YJA790011);辽宁省社会科学规划基金项目“促进辽宁省房地产市场稳定健康发展的长效机制研究”(L18AJY003);辽宁省教育厅高校基本科研项目“新质生产力对辽宁省异质性收缩城市产业链影响机制与提升路径研究”(LJ112410173041)。

摘　　要：制造业提质升级是增强中国经济质量优势的重要方向,而省际贸易是构建新发展格局的重要支撑。本文创新性地将省际贸易引入制造业升级的分析框架,探讨省际贸易对制造业升级的影响及作用机制。研究发现:省际贸易显著提升了高技术产业出口技术复杂度,促进了中国制造业提质升级;东部地区、东北地区和对外开放程度更高的地区,省际贸易更能促进制造业提质升级;省际贸易主要通过改善资源配置效率、促进技术扩散以及推动科技成果转化等促进制造业提质升级;进一步地,数字经济水平、市场分割程度对省际贸易的作用效果存在门槛,数字经济水平越高、市场分割程度越小,省际贸易的作用效果越显著。本文结论为进一步增强制造业国际竞争力提供了决策参考。Enhancing the quality and upgrading of the manufacturing industry is crucial to strengthening China's competitive edge in economic quality.Inter-provincial trade plays a vital role in supporting the establishment of a new development paradigm.By incorporating inter-provincial trade into the analytical framework of manufacturing upgrading,this paper investigates its mechanisms and impacts.The findings reveal that interprovincial trade significantly boosts the technology complexity of high-tech industry exports,thereby promoting the quality improvement and upgrading of China's manufacturing industry.Heterogeneity analysis shows that the positive effects of inter-provincial trade are more pronounced in eastern and northeastern regions,as well as in areas with greater openness to international markets.This study identifies three main channels through which inter-provincial trade promotes manufacturing upgrading:enhancing resource allocation efficiency,facilitating technological diffusion,and accelerating the transformation of scientific and technological achievements.Additionally,the level of digital economy development and the degree of market segmentation emerge as critical thresholds influencing the impact of inter-provincial trade.The results suggest that the positive effects of inter-provincial trade are amplified in regions with higher levels of digitalization and less market segmentation.These findings offer valuable insights for policymakers seeking to enhance the international competitiveness of the manufacturing industry.

关 键 词：省际贸易 制造业升级 出口技术复杂度 引力模型 

分 类 号：F727[经济管理—产业经济]