时敏目标杀伤链闭合时间测算方法研究  

Research on the Measurement Method of Time-Sensitive Target Kill Chain Close Time

作　　者：刘刚 季明[2] 许珺怡 LIU Gang;JI Ming;XU Junyi(Graduate School of Academy of Military Science,Beijing 100091,China;Center for Strategic Assessment and Consultation of Academy of MilitaryScience,Beijing 100091,China)

机构地区：[1]军事科学院研究生院,北京100091 [2]军事科学院战略评估咨询中心,北京100091

出　　处：《现代防御技术》2025年第2期121-128,共8页Modern Defence Technology

基　　金：军事类研究生资助课题(JY2022B107)。

摘　　要：测算闭合时间是运筹时敏目标杀伤链的关键工作。针对线性累加杀伤链各环节耗时的传统方法不适应杀伤链部分环节已并行重叠执行的问题,提出一种时敏目标杀伤链闭合时间动态精准测算方法。仿真实验表明,该方法结果更为精准,有助于辅助指挥机构更好地把握打击机会;能够适应时敏目标打击窗口变化,可为开展时敏目标杀伤链构造、建模、效能评估等提供一定的理论基础和技术支撑。The measurement of the close time is the key task of planning the time-sensitive target kill chain(TSTKC).Ignoring the overlapping relationships among the steps of TSTKC,previous studies have adopted methods based on linear accumulation.This paper proposes a dynamic measurement method for the close time of TSTKC based on overlapping relationships additionally.Simulation results show that this method is more accurate,which is helpful for the command organization to capture more strike opportunities.The method also adapts to the changes of the window of vulnerability,which can provide a theoretical basis and technical support for the construction,modelling and effectiveness evaluation of TSTKC.

关 键 词：时敏目标 杀伤链 杀伤网 闭合时间 打击窗口 “发现-定位-跟踪-瞄准-交战-评估”(F2T2EA)模型 

分 类 号：E917[军事] TJ01[兵器科学与技术—兵器发射理论与技术]