基于PLUS-InVEST模型的皖西大别山地区土地利用及碳储量预测  

Prediction of Land Use and Carbon Storage in Dabie Mountains of Western Anhui Province Based on PLUS-InVEST Model

作　　者：谢敏 储金龙 李久林 李浩猛 XIE Min;CHU Jinlong;LI Jiulin;LI Haomeng(School of Architecture and Urban Planning,Anhui Jianzhu University,Hefei 230601,China;Urbanization Co-creation Centre of Anhui Province,Hefei 230601,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽建筑大学建筑与规划学院,安徽合肥230601 [2]安徽省城镇化建设协同创新中心,安徽合肥230601

出　　处：《黄山学院学报》2025年第2期57-63,共7页Journal of Huangshan University

基　　金：安徽省高校省级人文社会科学优秀青年项目(2022AH030030)。

摘　　要：基于土地利用视角开展区域生态系统碳储量的时空格局研究及预测,探究区域碳储量时空分异及其驱动要素,对于加强区域生态治理以及促进“双碳”目标的实现具有重要意义。利用斑块生成土地利用模拟(Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation,PLUS)模型及生态系统服务和权衡综合评估(Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs,InVEST)模型对皖西大别山地区土地利用变化及碳储量空间分异特征进行现状分析与预测,并借助地理探测器对碳储量时空分异驱动要素定量分析。研究结果可为皖西大别山地区土地利用合理规划及碳储量空间格局优化提供参考。Studying and predicting the spatiotemporal patterns of regional ecosystem carbon storage from the perspective of land use and exploring the driving factors of carbon storage spatiotemporal differentiation are crucial for enhancing regional ecological governance and achieving“dual-carbon”goals.This study analyzes and predicts land use changes and carbon storage spatial differentiation in the Dabie Mountains of western Anhui Province by combining the Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation(PLUS) model and the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs(InVEST) model.Additionally,a geodetector is employed for a quantitative analysis of the driving factors behind carbon storage spatiotemporal differentiation.The research results can provide reference for rational land use planning and spatial pattern optimization of carbon storage in Dabie Mountain area of western Anhui.

关 键 词：土地利用 碳储量 PLUS模型 InVEST模型 皖西大别山地区 

分 类 号：X321[环境科学与工程—环境工程]