网络视角下共建“一带一路”国家货物贸易分析  

The Goods Trade among the Belt and Road Initiative Partner Countries from a Network Perspective

作　　者：张忠杰 占蔚 ZHANG Zhongjie;ZHAN Wei

机构地区：[1]兰州财经大学统计与数据科学学院,甘肃兰州730000

出　　处：《商业经济》2025年第5期93-96,126,共5页Business & Economy

基　　金：甘肃省软科学项目:甘肃培育发展新质生产力的机制与路径研究(24JRZA090)。

摘　　要：采用网络分析法,探究2003—2022年间65个参与共建“一带一路”国家货物贸易网络特性。研究表明,中国与印度在网络中持续领先,阿联酋、马来西亚等国重要性上升。文莱与黑山扮演桥梁角色,中国、马来西亚与多关键节点紧密相连,影响力显著。十年来,贸易网络连接愈发紧密,全球贸易量激增,网络效率维持高水平。网络社区结构趋向松散,交互性增强,体现全球贸易环境的复杂性。大社区国家集团化趋势明显,小社区形成高度连通子网。据此,建议共建“一带一路”国家,特别是关键节点国,强化与关键国家合作,优化贸易网络以促进信息流通与交易效率,并积极开拓新兴市场,增强竞争力,以期为“一带一路”贸易合作提供策略指导。The study uses network analysis to explore the characteristics of the goods trade network among the 65 countries participating in the Belt and Road Initiative from 2003 to 2022.The research shows that China and India have maintained leading positions in the network,while the importance of countries such as the United Arab Emirates and Malaysia has increased.Brunei and Montenegro play bridging roles,and China,Malaysia,and many key nodes are closely connected,exerting significant influence.Over the past decade,the trade network has become increasingly interconnected,global trade volume has soared,and network efficiency has remained at a high level.The community structure of the network has become looser,with enhanced interactivity,reflecting the complexity of the global trade environment.The trend of large community countries forming groups is obvious,and small communities have formed highly connected subnets.Based on these findings,it is suggested that the Belt and Road Initiative partner countries,especially key node countries,strengthen cooperation with key countries,optimize the trade network to promote information flow and transaction efficiency,and actively explore emerging markets to enhance competitiveness.The study provides strategic guidance for trade cooperation under the Belt and Road Initiative.

关 键 词：“一带一路” 网络结构 网络演化 网络社区 

分 类 号：F740[经济管理—国际贸易]