2024年巴黎奥运会女子篮球赛中国队与对手攻防竞技能力比较分析  

Quantitative Evaluation of Sino-Opponent Game Dynamics: Offensive/Defensive Metrics in Women's Basketball at Olympics Paris 2024

作　　者：廖先平 邓罗平 Liao Xianping;Deng Luoping(Hunan University of Science and Technology,Xiangtan 411201,China)

机构地区：[1]湖南科技大学,湖南湘潭411201

出　　处：《体育科技文献通报》2025年第3期15-19,共5页Bulletin of Sport Science & Technology

摘　　要：本文采用文献资料法、录像观察法、数理统计法、秩和比分析(RSR)法及Q型聚类分析法,探讨巴黎奥运会女子篮球赛中国队与对手的攻防竞技能力。结果显示:(1)根据攻防指标RSR值,美国队、法国队和比利时队隶属于B级水平,澳大利亚队、西班牙队、塞尔维亚队、德国队、尼日利亚队和中国队隶属于C级水平,波多黎各队、加拿大队和日本队隶属于D级水平。(2)美国队被归类为优秀等级,法国队、澳大利亚队、比利时队、西班牙队、德国队、尼日利亚队和中国队归为良好等级,塞尔维亚队、波多黎各队、加拿大队和日本队被归类为中等等级,与本届比赛实际排名基本一致。(3)法国队和比利时队被识别为中国女队的主要竞争对手,中国队在进攻端与法国队相近,但在防守端尤其是失分控制和抢断方面存在明显差距。建议:提升拼抢意识以保护篮板,增强进攻主动性提高进攻效率,加强全面防守减少失误,合理分配体能以应对末节比赛,同时注入新鲜血液并开发独特战术以提升中国队整体竞争力。This study employs literature research method, video analysis, statistical methods, Rank-Sum Ratio(RSR) analysis, and Q-type cluster analysis to compare the offensive-defensive capabilities of the Chinese women's basketball team and its opponents at the 2024 Paris Olympics.Results reveal:(i) Based on RSR values, America, France, and Belgium were classified into Tier B,while Australia, Spain, Serbia, Germany, Nigeria, and China fell into Tier C,with Puerto Rico, Canada, and Japan in Tier D.(ii) Q-type cluster analysis categorized America as “excellent, ” France, Australia, Belgium, Spain, Germany, Nigeria, and China as “good, ” and Serbia, Puerto Rico, Canada, and Japan as “average, ” aligning with the actual tournament rankings.(iii) France and Belgium were identified as China's primary competitors, with China demonstrating comparable offensive capabilities to France but lagging defensively, particularly in opponent scoring probability suppression and clean steal execution rate.Recommendations include enhancing rebounding awareness to secure possessions, improving offensive efficiency through proactive play, strengthening defensive strategies to minimize turnovers, optimizing late-game stamina management, and integrating emerging talent with innovative tactics to elevate overall competitiveness.

关 键 词：巴黎奥运会 女子篮球赛 中国队 秩和比分析 Q型聚类分析 攻防竞技能力 

分 类 号：G841[文化科学—体育训练]