基于VAR模型的农业机械化对农民增收影响研究  

Research on the Impact of Agricultural Mechanization on Farmers′Income Increase Based on VAR Model

作　　者：黄俊梅 刘春华 董梓硕 孙翠萍[1] HUANG Junmei;LIU Chunhua;DONG Zishuo;SUN Cuiping(School of Economics and Management,Weifang University of Science and Technology,Shouguang 262700,China;Shandong Shouguang Juneng Golden Corn Development Co.,Ltd.,Shouguang 262700,China)

机构地区：[1]潍坊科技学院经济管理学院,山东寿光262700 [2]山东寿光巨能金玉米开发有限公司,山东寿光262700

出　　处：《乡村科技》2025年第7期41-45,共5页Rural Science and Technology

基　　金：中国高等教育学会“2024年度高等教育科学研究规划课题”高等农林实践研究重点课题“基于‘三元要素’和指向‘扎根精神’的地方高校农林人才培养模式改革研究”(24NL0301);山东省人文社会科学课题“主体功能区视角下鲁浙粤数字经济驱动县域高质量发展的比较研究”(24B314)。

摘　　要：促进农民增收是落实乡村振兴战略、实现农村农民共同富裕的重要要求,农业机械化对农民增收有着显著影响。基于山东省德州市2011—2023年《统计年鉴》中农村居民可支配收入数据和农业机械总动力数据,运用VAR模型实证分析德州市农业机械化对农民增收的影响。结果表明,提高农业机械化水平能有效促进农民增收。基于此,提出因地制宜发挥农机补贴作用、加强农民技术教育培训等建议,以形成山东省农业机械化促进农民收入增长的良性互动关系。Increasing farmers′income is an important requirement for implementing rural revitalization and realizing common prosperity for rural farmers.Agricultural mechanization has a significant impact on increasing farmers′income.Based on the data of Dezhou City from 2011 to 2023,this paper empirically studies the impact of agricultural mechanization on increasing farmers′income in Dezhou City by using the VAR model.The results show that the level of agricultural mechanization can effectively promote the increase of farmers′income.In view of this,some suggestions were put forward to give full play to the role of agricultural machinery subsidies according to local conditions and strengthen farmers′technical education and training,so as to form a good interactive relationship between agricultural mechanization and the promotion of farmers′income in Shandong Province.

关 键 词：农业机械化 VAR模型 农民增收 

分 类 号：F323.8[经济管理—产业经济]