基于邻近效应、贸易便利性与显性比较优势视角的农产品出口影响因素分析——以云南省对东盟国家的农产品出口为例  

Influencing Factors of Agricultural Product Exports Based on Proximity Effect,Trade Facilitation and Revealed Comparative Advantage:A Case Study of Yunnan Province’s Agricultural Product Exports to ASEAN Countries

作　　者：施婕 王雪娇 李隆伟[1] 李冬梅[1] 李梁 SHI Jie;WANG Xue-jiao;LI Long-wei;LI Dong-mei;LI Liang(Institute of Agricultural Economics and Information,Yunnan Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Kunming 650205,China)

机构地区：[1]云南省农业科学院农业经济与信息研究所,云南昆明650205

出　　处：《江西农业学报》2025年第4期95-102,共8页Acta Agriculturae Jiangxi

基　　金：中国工程院云南省政府2022年院地合作项目“新发展格局下云南农业对外开放发展战略研究”(2022YNYB2);云南省云岭学者人才专项(YNWR-YLXZ-2019-013);云南农业发展智库建设项目(NK202301);国家外国专家局资助项目(外专培出字〔2024〕0031号)。

摘　　要：中国和东盟已连续四年互为最大贸易伙伴,云南省作为连接东盟的重要窗口,探索提升对东盟农产品出口的影响因素,有助于促进中国农产品贸易的多元化发展和区域经济一体化。以2010—2022年云南省与东盟十国农产品出口贸易为研究对象,基于改进引力模型进行了实证分析。结果表明:邻近效应、贸易便利化水平和显性比较优势均不同程度地促进了云南省对东盟国家农产品出口,影响的程度取决于贸易对象国的市场规模、人口密度及地理接壤情况。鉴于此,提出了发挥云南省地理区位优势,促进区域贸易发展;加强与东盟各国贸易便利化合作,优化双边贸易环境;提升云南省农产品国际竞争力,扩大出口贸易规模等对策建议,以期促进双边农产品贸易潜力充分释放,实现可持续、高质量发展。Over the past four years,China and ASEAN have been each other’s largest trading partners.Yunnan Province,serving as a crucial conduit to ASEAN,explores the factors influencing the export of agricultural products to this region,which contributes to the diversified development of China’s agricultural product trade and the integration of regional economies.This study focuses on the agricultural product export trade between Yunnan Province and the ten ASEAN countries from 2010 to 2022,employing an improved gravity model for empirical analysis.The results show that the proximity effect,the level of trade facilitation and revealed comparative advantage all contribute to promoting Yunnan Province’s agricultural exports to ASEAN countries to varying extents.The strength of these effects depends on the market size,population density,and geographical proximity of the trading partner countries.In light of these results,this paper proposes several policy recommendations:leveraging Yunnan’s geographical advantages to promote regional trade development,enhancing cooperation on trade facilitation with ASEAN countries to optimize the bilateral trade environment,and improving the international competitiveness of Yunnan’s agricultural products to expand the scale of export trade.These measures aim to fully realize the potential of bilateral agricultural product trade and achieve sustainable,high-quality development.

关 键 词：东盟 农产品贸易 邻近效应 贸易便利化水平 显性比较优势 

分 类 号：F752.7[经济管理—国际贸易]