省会经济圈产业协同发展及驱动因素研究  

Research on the Coordinated Development and Driving Factors of Industries in the Provincial Capital Economic Circle

作　　者：李曦方 石金明 LI Xifang;SHI Jinming(School of Economics and Trade,Liaocheng Vocational&Technical College,Liaocheng 252000,Shandong,China;Economics College,Shandong Normal University,Jinan 250300,China)

机构地区：[1]聊城职业技术学院经贸学院,山东聊城252000 [2]山东师范大学经济学院,济南250300

出　　处：《科技和产业》2025年第8期102-113,共12页Science Technology and Industry

基　　金：2024年度聊城市哲学社会科学规划课题(NDKT2024101);2022年度聊城职业技术学院校级科研重点课题项目(2022LZYR01);2022年山东省中华职教社课题(174)。

摘　　要：山东省会经济圈以济南为核心,辐射周边六地市,形成“1+6”城市发展格局,是山东省中西部地区崛起和经济发展的重要增长极。收集山东省会经济圈内7个地市、57个县区的经济指标数据,使用灰色关联度分析方法,测度不同城市和产业间的聚集水平;使用GeoDa软件,对经济圈内第一、二、三产业的聚集程度进行空间计量分析;基于2003—2021年经济圈内7个地市面板数据,将制造业与生产服务业产业协同集聚指数作为核心解释变量,构建双固定效应模型进行实证研究,论证影响产业协同的关键性驱动性因素,进而提出合理化建议。The Shandong Provincial Capital Economic Circle,centered around Jinan and radiatingto six surrounding cities,has formed a“1+6”urban development pattern and is an important growth pole for the rise and economic development of the central and western regions of Shandong Province.Collecting Economic indicator data from seven cities and 57 counties within the Shandong provincial capital economic circle,grey relational analysis method was used to measure the agglomeration level between different cities and industries.GeoDa software was used to conduct spatial econometric analysis on the clustering degree of primary,secondary,and tertiary industries within the economic circle.Based on panel data from seven cities within the economic circle from 2003 to 2021,the manufacturing and production service industry synergy agglomeration index was used as the core explanatory variable.Through empirical analysis of double fixed effects,the key driving factors affecting industry synergy are demonstrated,and rational suggestions are proposed.

关 键 词：省会经济圈 产业协同 驱动因素 GeoDa 双固定效应 实证分析 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]