基于四元连续半偏减法集对势的区域水资源承载力评价与诊断  

Evaluation and Diagnosis of Regional Water Resources Carrying Capacity Based on Four-element Continuous Semi-partial Subtraction Set Pair Potential

作　　者：杨振龙 周戎星[1] 吴啸骎 周铁军 梁建[2] YANG Zhenlong;ZHOU Rongxing;WU Xiaoqin;ZHOU Tiejun;LIANG Jian(School of Civil Engineering,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei 230009,China;Water Resources Research Institute of Anhui Province and Huaihe River Commission,Ministry of Water Resources,Hefei 230088,China)

机构地区：[1]合肥工业大学土木与水利工程学院,安徽合肥230009 [2]安徽省·水利部淮河水利委员会水利科学研究院,安徽合肥230088

出　　处：《华北水利水电大学学报(自然科学版)》2025年第2期84-91,144,共9页Journal of North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power:Natural Science Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(U2240223);安徽省高等科研计划重点项目(2022AH051105);安徽省水科院青年创新计划项目(KY202106)。

摘　　要：为准确客观地评价区域水资源承载力等级、识别影响水资源承载力的脆弱性指标,基于四元减法集对势并结合偏联系数与联系分量迁移率原理,对差异度项进行合理分配,构建四元连续半偏减法集对势,并应用于江淮丘陵区水资源承载力评价和脆弱性指标诊断。结果表明:2011—2018年江淮丘陵区中合肥市水资源承载状态最差,常年处于3级水平,承载状态十分严峻;滁州、六安、安庆3市水资源承载力由3级逐步提升至2级,承载状态稳步提升;运用四元连续半偏减法集对势诊断得出人均水资源量、产水模数、植被覆盖率、人均GDP和生态用水率是影响江淮丘陵区水资源承载力的主要因素。结果可为水资源承载状态评价与脆弱性指标诊断提供新思路。To systematically evaluate and diagnose regional water resources carrying capacity(WRCC),this study proposes an innovative four-element continuous semi-partial subtraction set pair potential(FCSSP)model by integrating partial connection number theory and linkage component transferability principles.The model dynamically allocates discrepancy degrees within set pair analysis,overcoming limitations of conventional methods.Applied to the Jianghuai hilly region(2011—2018),the results reveal:①Hefei maintained persistently critical WRCC status(GradeⅢ),indicating severe carrying pressure;②Chuzhou,Lu′an,and Anqing demonstrated progressive improvement from GradeⅢtoⅡ;③Diagnostic analysis identified five key vulnerability indicators:per capita water resources,water yield modulus,vegetation coverage,GDP per capita,and ecological water use ratio.The FCSSP model exhibits enhanced physical interpretability and diagnostic precision,providing a methodological advance for WRCC assessment and sustainable water management in heterogeneous regions.

关 键 词：水资源承载力评价 偏联系数 半偏联系数 减法集对势 江淮丘陵区 

分 类 号：TV213.4[水利工程—水文学及水资源]