财政压力视角下能源转型对产业高级化的影响--基于东北三省示范城市的准自然实验  

Impact of energy transition on industrial upgrading from perspective of financial pressure:a quasi-natural experiment based on demonstration cities in three provinces of Northeast China

作　　者：聂颖[1] 韩嘉琪 NIE Ying;HAN Jiaqi(College of International Business,Shenyang Normal University,Shenyang,Liaoning 110034,China)

机构地区：[1]沈阳师范大学国际商学院,辽宁沈阳110034

出　　处：《沈阳工业大学学报(社会科学版)》2025年第2期199-207,共9页Journal of Shenyang University of Technology(Social Sciences)

基　　金：辽宁省社会科学规划基金项目(L16AJY013)。

摘　　要：资源衰退型城市普遍面临整体经济发展迟缓的困境,东北地区作为我国典型的老工业基地,是资源型城市集中区域,其经济发展受限状况尤为显著。近年来,国家相继出台了一系列政策,大力推行新能源示范城市试点,旨在改善资源衰退型城市发展困局,进而推动东北老工业基地实现绿色转型。选取2010—2019年东北三省34个城市面板数据,依据我国2014年推出的新能源示范城市政策,运用多期双重差分法(DID)对比处理组与对照组来准确辨识该政策对新能源产业发展的影响,并评估处理效应,目的在于检验新能源示范城市政策对产业高级化水平的作用,以及地方财政在这一过程中所发挥的作用。研究显示:新能源示范城市试点政策能够推动企业技术创新和全要素生产率的提高,有效推动产业高级化水平的提升,从而促进东北老工业基地向绿色低碳方向转型。同时,调节效应分析发现,地方政府财政负担在一定程度上会抑制新能源产业发展示范效应的充分发挥,财政压力的增加会对试点实施的长期效果产生负面影响。因此,在加速推进新能源示范城市建设的过程中,必须警惕盲目扩张带来的风险,着力减少新能源示范城市财政约束,充分释放国家政策对新能源示范城市的支持效能,以此推动新能源产业以及地区经济稳健发展。Resource-depleted cities generally face the predicament of sluggish overall economic development.As a typical old industrial base in China,the Northeast region is a concentrated area of resource-based cities,and its economic development is particularly constrained.In recent years,China has successively introduced a series of policies and launched pilot projects for new energy demonstration cities,aiming to improve the development predicament of resource-depleted cities and promote the green transformation of the old industrial base in Northeast China.Selecting the panel data of 34 cities in the three Northeast provinces from 2010 to 2019,and in accordance with the new energy demonstration city policy introduced by China in 2014,this paper uses the multi-period difference-in-differences(DID)method to compare the treatment group and the control group to accurately identify the impact of this policy on the development of the new energy industry and evaluate the treatment effect.The purpose is to examine the role of the new energy demonstration city policy in promoting the advanced level of the industry and the effect of finance in this process.The research shows that the pilot policy of new energy demonstration cities can promote enterprise technological innovation,improve total factor productivity,effectively promote the improvement of the advanced level of the industry,and thus promote the transformation of the old industrial base in Northeast China towards a green and low-carbon direction.At the same time,through the analysis of the moderating effect,it is found that the fiscal burden of local governments to a certain extent will inhibit the full play of the demonstration effect of the new energy industry development,and the increase in fiscal pressure will have a negative impact on the long-term effect of the pilot implementation.Therefore,in the process of accelerating the construction of new energy demonstration city,it is necessary to be vigilant against the risks brought by blind expansion,focus on reducing

关 键 词：产业高级化 新能源示范城市 财政压力 政策效果 双重差分模型 

分 类 号：F424[经济管理—产业经济]