基于DEMATEL-ISM模型的航站楼安全韧性影响因素分析  

Analysis of factors affecting terminal safety resilience based on DEMATEL-ISM model

作　　者：宋洋[1] 王瑞琪 张鹏 SONG Yang;WANG Ruiqi;ZHANG Peng(Key Laboratory of Civil Aviation Thermal Hazards Prevention and Emergency Response,CAUC,Tianjin 300300,China;College of Safety Science and Engineering,CAUC,Tianjin 300300,China)

机构地区：[1]中国民航大学民航热灾害防控与应急重点实验室,天津300300 [2]中国民航大学安全科学与工程学院,天津300300

出　　处：《中国民航大学学报》2025年第2期52-57,82,共7页Journal of Civil Aviation University of China

基　　金：民航热灾害防控与应急重点实验室开放基金项目(RZH2022-KF-04)。

摘　　要：为促进航站楼安全韧性建设,提高航站楼安全管理水平,将“安全韧性”概念引入航站楼安全管理,利用集成决策实验室分析(DEMATEL,decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory)和解释结构模型(ISM,interpretative structural model)方法来分析航站楼安全韧性的影响因素。首先,提出航站楼安全韧性定义,以随其运营表现出的监测能力、抵抗能力、应急能力、恢复能力为核心构建航站楼安全韧性影响因素指标体系;然后,建立DEMATEL-ISM模型,使用DEMATEL方法计算各因素的影响度、被影响度、中心度、原因度以及因素间的因果属性,利用ISM方法划分其层级结构;最后,以国内某机场A航站楼为例进行模型验证。结果表明:航站楼安全韧性的根本影响因素是建立航站楼安全韧性机制,与A航站楼实际运营情况一致,验证了模型的有效性和可靠性,为航站楼安全管理提供决策和理论支持。To promote the construction of terminal safety resilience and improve the level of terminal safety management,the concept of"safety resilience"is introduced into terminal safety management,and the factors affecting the safety resilience of the terminal are analyzed using the integrated method of decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory(DEMATEL)and interpretative structural model(ISM).Firstly,the definition of terminal safety resilience is proposed,and the indicator system of terminal safety resilience influencing factors is constructed centered on the monitoring ability,resistance ability,emergency response ability and recovery ability demonstrated with its operation.Then,the DEMATEL-ISM model is established,and the DEMATEL method is used to calculate the degree of influence,the degree of being influenced,the degree of center,the degree of cause,and the causal attributes between the factors,and the ISM method is used to divide their hierarchical structure.Finally,Terminal A of a domestic airport is taken as an example for model validation.The results indicate that the fundamental influencing factor of terminal safety resilience is the establishment of a terminal safety resilience mechanism,which is consistent with the actual operation of Terminal A.This validates the effectiveness and reliability of the model and provides decision-making and theoretical support for terminal safety management.

关 键 词：航站楼 安全韧性 决策实验室分析(DEMATEL) 解释结构模型(ISM) 

分 类 号：V351[航空宇航科学与技术—人机与环境工程]