基于DPSIR-Tapio模型的水环境治理绩效及障碍评价——以环太湖城市群为例  

Evaluation of Water Environment Governance Performance and Its Obstacles Based on DPSIR-Tapio Model:A Case Study of the Taihu Lake City Cluster

作　　者：周驰 李加林[1,2] 刘永超 曹罗丹[1] 应超 ZHOU Chi;LI Jialin;LIU Yongchao;CAO Luodao;YING Chao(School of Civil&Environmental Engineering and Geography Science,Ningbo University,Ningbo 315211,China;Zhejiang Collaborative Innovation Center for Land and Marine Spatial Utilization and Governance Research,Ningbo 315211,China)

机构地区：[1]宁波大学土木工程与地理环境学院,浙江宁波315211 [2]浙江省陆海国土空间利用与治理协同创新中心,浙江宁波315211

出　　处：《中国环境管理》2025年第2期74-89,共16页Chinese Journal of Environmental Management

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目“统筹水资源、水环境、水生态治理的机制和路径研究”(23&ZD105)。

摘　　要：在城市化与工业化快速进程中,日益凸显的水环境问题成为制约社会经济可持续发展的关键。构建基于水环境治理绩效评价的科学治理策略来减轻水环境压力,已成为可持续发展的迫切需求。目前研究大多基于统计数据和时空分析法进行绩效评价,忽视了子系统间的动态互动和影响因素的探究。以环太湖城市群为研究区,基于驱动力—压力—状态—影响—响应(DPSIR)模型构建水环境治理绩效评价体系,采用逼近理想解排序法(TOPSIS)模型对水环境治理绩效进行时空演变分析,运用Tapio脱钩模型揭示子系统间的动态互动关系,借助障碍度模型识别水环境治理的关键影响因素。结果表明:①环太湖城市群水环境治理绩效整体呈现上升的趋势,各地级市水环境治理绩效排序为:苏州>常州>湖州>嘉兴>无锡。②环太湖城市群在P-D和P-R主要呈现出弱脱钩或强脱钩状态,而P-S&I表现出较大的不稳定性;各地级市脱钩水平排序为:嘉兴>湖州=无锡>常州>苏州市;水环境治理绩效与脱钩水平并非正相关。③影响水环境治理的主要因素为政府节水投资、城镇化水平、产业结构优化调整、专业技术人才的投入、污水处理能力和供水综合生产能力。In the rapid process of urbanization and industrialization,the increasingly prominent water environment issues have become a key constraint to sustainable socio-economic development.Establishing scientific governance strategies based on water environment management performance evaluation to alleviate water environmental pressures has emerged as an urgent demand for sustainable development.Most of the current studies are based on statistical data and spatio-temporal analysis for performance evaluation,neglecting the dynamic interaction between subsystems and exploration of influencing factors.Taking the urban agglomeration around Taihu Lake as the study area,we constructed a water environment governance performance evaluation system based on the Driving Force-Pressure-State-Impact-Response(DPSIR)model,analyzed the temporal and spatial evolution of water environment governance performance using the Approximate Ideal Solution Sorting Method(TOPSIS)model,used the Tapio decoupling model to reveal the dynamic interactions among the subsystems,and identified key influencing factors of water environment governance with the aid of the obstacle degree model.The key influencing factors of water environment governance were identified with the help of the obstacle degree model.The results showed that:①the overall water environment governance performance of the city cluster around Taihu Lake showed an upward trend,and the water environment governance performance of each prefecture-level city was ranked as follows:Suzhou>Changzhou>Huzhou>Jiaxing>Wuxi.②The city cluster around Taihu Lake mainly showed weak or strong decoupling in P-D and P-R,while P-S&I showed greater instability;the decoupling level of each prefectural city was ranked as:Jiaxing>Huzhou=Wuxi>Changzhou>Suzhou;the performance of water environment governance was not positively correlated with the decoupling level.③The main factors affecting water environment governance were government investment,urbanization level,optimization and adjustment of industrial stru

关 键 词：水环境治理绩效 DPSIR模型 Tapio脱钩模型 障碍因子 环太湖城市群 

分 类 号：X821[环境科学与工程—环境工程] X52