用多项式模拟烤烟赤星病病指趋势值的研究  

Studies on the Disease Index Tendency of Flue-cured Tobacco Brown Spot by Applying the Polynomial Model Simulation

作　　者：陈惠明 王明[2] 顾本文[2] 杨硕媛 胡坚 杨璧愫 

机构地区：[1]云南省烟草科学研究院农业研究所,云南玉溪653100 [2]云南省农业气象中心,云南昆明650034 [3]云南省玉溪市红塔区烟草公司,云南玉溪653100

出　　处：《云南农业大学学报》2003年第1期35-38,共4页Journal of Yunnan Agricultural University

基　　金：云南省烟草公司资助项目(96A02)

摘　　要：用多项式模式模拟预测了2001年玉溪红塔区烤烟赤星病病指的趋势值,并与实测值进行了误差分析;同时已模拟预测了2002年烤烟赤星病病指的发生趋势值,为烤烟生产的综合防治工作服务。The polynomial model simulation was used to predict the year 2001′s tendency values of the disease indexes of fluecured tobacco brown spot in Hongta area, Yuxi and the error analysis was carried out by comparing with the actual values. Also the incidence tendency values of the disease indexes were simulated for the year 2002 and the results could service the comprehensive prevension and control of this disease in tobacco production.

关 键 词：烤烟 赤星病 趋势值 模拟 多项式模式 病情指数 

分 类 号：S435.72[农业科学—农业昆虫与害虫防治]