邮政通信网局部预测模型的研究和实现  

The Research and Implementation of Local Forecast Model of Postal Communication Networks

作　　者：胡涛[1] 王汝传[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京邮电学院计算机科学与技术系,江苏南京210003

出　　处：《南京邮电学院学报（自然科学版）》2003年第1期61-65,共5页Journal of Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications

摘　　要：为建立模型对网络实体流量流向进行预测,通过对实际情况的分析,得出新的局部预测模型方案,并为模型设定多级子模型,当模型需要变换时,只需要加入新的影响因素,不需要改变模型框架,这样使得模型更加适合邮政通信网仿真优化的需要。对于其它类似的仿真系统模型建立也有一定的启发作用。To establish a forcast model of the flow volumn and direction of network entities, a new local forcast model with multilevel submodels is derived based on the analysis of reality.When model needs to be changed,only a few affecting factors the original model framework unchanged should be added with this makes the model mect the reguitments of the simulation and optimization of postal communication networks.It applies as well to the estabishment of other simitar simulation system models.

关 键 词：邮政通信网 预测模型 系统仿真 中心局体制 运营 

分 类 号：F614[经济管理—产业经济] TN915.85[电子电信—通信与信息系统]