天地人系统预测与对策研究  

Study on Forecast and Countermeasure of the Cosmos-Earth-Man System

作　　者：刘波[1] 王能明[2] 

机构地区：[1]成都理工大学,成都610059 [2]四川大学,成都610064

出　　处：《成都理工大学学报（社会科学版）》2003年第1期7-10,共4页Journal of Chengdu University of Technology:Social Sciences

摘　　要：本文以系统辩证思维方式导向,坚持系统整体观念领先,灵活运用现代系统科学方法论,从“广角镜”式的多维立体视野出发,综合考察了囊括天体、地球、生物、人类在内的广阔世界之现状和未来。在天地人复杂开放巨系统这一“超级自然社会综合体”的背景下,作者以天地人巨系统观为理论依据,在深刻反思人类、社会、自然关系史和系统分析当今全球问题现状的基础上,提出了创建天地人系统预测、对策学理论与方法体系的构想;进而对未来人类、社会、自然关系和世界前景进行了总体预测,并展开了对天、地、生、人诸系统未来演进的分项预测,最后深入探讨了解决全球问题的天地人系统对策。The paper si concerned in system dialectical thinking method of and system integral ideal Basing on the views of multi-dimensional, the authors analyse systematically the present situation and future of our universe including the celestial body, earth, creature and mankind by using modern system science methodology. According to the principle of cosmos-earth-man huge system view, on the basis of deeply reflecting the history of relationship among mankind-society-nature and analyzing the present situation of global problems, this paper puts forward the conception of creating the cosmos-earth-man system prediction-countermeasure theory. Furthermore, the authors forecast the prospect of the world and the relationship among mankind-society-nature in the future. And also separately predict evolution of system covering cosmos, earth, creature, and man. Finally the paper set forth the cosmos-earth-man system countermeasures on how to solve the global problems.

关 键 词：天地人 复杂开放巨系统 系统辨证思维方式 系统预测 对策 

分 类 号：N94[自然科学总论—系统科学]