中国贸易发展与经济增长影响机制的经验研究  

An Empirical Study on the Influencing Mechanism of the Trade Development and Economic Growth in China

作　　者：沈坤荣[1] 李剑[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京大学商学院,210093

出　　处：《经济研究》2003年第5期32-40,56,共10页Economic Research Journal

基　　金：国家社科基金 (0 0CJL0 10 );国家软科学项目 (2 0 0 1DG0 0 0 0 37);江苏省社科基金 (E2 0 11)资助

摘　　要：本文对贸易和人均产出之间的影响机制进行了分析。中国改革开放以来的经验数据证实 ,国际贸易通过提升国家要素禀赋结构和加快制度变革进程对人均产出产生了正面影响 ;但国内贸易则相反 ,国内市场分割的加剧 ,阻碍了国内市场的一体化进程 ,进而对经济产生负面影响。另外 ,本文还发现 ,尽管人力资本对人均产出有着重要而显著的影响 ,但贸易的变化却较少通过这条途径对人均产出产生影响。Exploring the mechanism of trade and growth, this paper shows that increasing international trade proportion and decreasing domestic trade proportion raise output per capita through promoting the structure of factor endowment and institution adjustment, for domestic trade proportion is, in a sense, associated with fragmentation of the domestic market and distortion of factor allocation. Although no significant relation exists between technology change and international trade, a significantly positive relationship does exist between technology change and domestic trade. In addition, human capital also does not play an important role between trade and output per capita.

关 键 词：中国 国际贸易 发展 经济增长 影响机制 经验研究 人均产出 国家要素禀赋结构 制度变革 国内贸易 人力资本 

分 类 号：F061.2[经济管理—政治经济学]