广东台风灾情评估探讨  

A DISCUSSION ABOUT THE TYPHOON DISASTER EVALUATION OF GUANGDONG

作　　者：刘玉函[1] 唐晓春[1] 宋丽莉[2] 

机构地区：[1]华南师范大学地理系,广东广州510631 [2]广东省气象局,广东广州510080

出　　处：《热带地理》2003年第2期119-122,共4页Tropical Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(49971010)部分研究成果

摘　　要：对1950～2000年间登陆和影响广东省的台风造成的灾害进行分析,选取有完整记录的42例台风的台风强度、最大风速、最大日雨量作为主要气象因子,采用SAS系统建立了灾情评估模型,计算出历次台风的主要灾情数据,并且将评估值与实测值拟合。拟合的结果表明,可以通过气象数据,定量地大致估算台风的灾情。Based on the data from Disaster Reduction in Guangdong, the typhoon disasters that occurred from 1950 to 2000 within the area of Guangdong Province were statistically analysed. By the method of SAS, an evaluation model was set up, of which 42 integrated records were picked up that include the basic meteorological factors--wind′s intensity, the maximum velocity of the wind and the maximum daily rainfall. The main data of the disasters were calculated and the evaluated values were compared with observed ones. The result indicates that the model can be devoted to the quantitative analysis of typhoon disasters.

关 键 词：广东 台风灾害 台风强度 最大风速 最大日雨量 1950-2000年 气象数据 SAS系统 

分 类 号：P444[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]