现代水资源规划若干问题及解决途径与技术方法(三)——系统分析的模拟、优化与情景分析  

Some problems in modern water resources planning and their solutions and technical methods (3)---Simulation and optimization of systematic analysis and scene analysis

作　　者：王忠静[1] 赵建世 熊雁晖[1] 

机构地区：[1]清华大学水文水资源研究所,北京100084

出　　处：《海河水利》2003年第3期15-19,共5页Haihe Water Resources

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(50079009)

摘　　要：水资源系统分析是现代水资源规划的数学基础,一般有模拟和优化两大类,各自适宜于解决不同类型的水资源规划问题。在分析了模拟与优化两种方法的优势和劣势后,运用决策支持系统思想,联合运用模拟与优化方法,提出水资源系统分析的情景分析法,可以解决复杂水资源系统规划问题。Water resources system analysis i s the mathematic basis modern water resources planning.It could be classified i nto two categories:simulation and optimization,which are appropriate to solve different types of water resources planning problems respectively.After anal yzing the advantages and disadvantages of these two methods of simulation and optimization,the author applies the thinking of decision-making support sys tem,combines simulation method with optimization method,and puts forward the s cene analytical method of water resources system analysis,which could solve th e complicated problems of water resources system planning.

关 键 词：水资源系统分析 模拟 优化 情景分析 

分 类 号：TV212[水利工程—水文学及水资源]