模拟评价方法在劳动安全卫生预评价中的应用研究  

RESEARCH ON THE APPLICATION OF SIMULATION ASSESSMENT IN HEALTH AND SAFETY EVALUATION

作　　者：王志荣[1] 蒋军成[1] 潘旭海[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京工业大学安全工程研究所

出　　处：《石油与天然气化工》2003年第3期181-184,186,共5页Chemical engineering of oil & gas

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目 (No.2 99361 1 0 );江苏省青年科学基金资助项目 (BQ980 2 9)。

摘　　要：针对石油化工行业危险源的主要特点 ,提出了一种新的评价方法———模拟评价方法 ,进行了模拟评价方法在劳动安全卫生预评价中的应用研究 ,分析了模拟评价方法的事故假设、数学模型、参数选取以及主要特点。针对某建设工程 ,利用模拟评价方法进行了泄漏扩散、池火灾和蒸气云爆炸的模拟分析评价。评价分析的结果不仅具有形象直观和准确度高的特点 ,而且能模拟灾害事故发生、发展以及消亡的整个过程。模拟评价的结果不仅为建设单位的设计人员、管理人员和企业、政府行政部门的高层决策者提供客观依据 ,而且还为企业制定重大事故的应急救援处理措施和事故预案提供了重要的科学根据。A new method of Health and Safety Evaluation is put forward based on the main characters of the dangerous sources in petro-chemical plants. In the paper, research work is done on the application of simulation assessment in Health and Safety Evaluation, including assumptions of the accidents, simulation models, selection of the parameters. As for an example, the method of simulation assessment is used in analysis and evaluation of pool fire, vapor cloud explosion(VCE) and leakage and dispersion of flammable and toxic materials. The results are straightforward and accurate. What's more, the results can reflect the whole process of the occurrence, development and end of the disastrous accidents. Not only can be it good reference for the decision of the officials of the government and the manager of the enterprise, but also a useful tool for the establishment of measurements of accidents prevention and treatment in chemical process plants.

关 键 词：模拟评价方法 劳动安全卫生预评价 应用 物理模型 数学模型 石油化工行业 

分 类 号：X913[环境科学与工程—安全科学]