平顶山市区域性环境资源可持续发展能力研究  

Study on the Capacity of Sustainable Development of Pingdingshan City's Environmental Quality

作　　者：李军 张超英 陈志林[2] 何瑞珍[2] 毕建平[3] 

机构地区：[1]河南省经济林和林木种苗站,河南郑州450002 [2]河南农业大学林学园艺学院,河南郑州450002 [3]郑州煤田职工地质学院,河南郑州450003

出　　处：《生物数学学报》2003年第2期249-255,共7页Journal of Biomathematics

基　　金：河南省科技攻关项目(991200130)

摘　　要：依据平顶山市12年环境质量检测及评价的相关资料,提出了环境资源可持续发展能力综合评价的指标体系,并应用这一指标体系,运用主成分分析的方法。提取累计贡献率达94.75％的前4个主成分进行变量回测,定义并计算可持续发展度,建立了可持续发展度的时间数到模型,为环境资源可持续发展能力的量化研究提供了可行的方法。Based on the related data on Pingdingshan city's environmental quality and evaluation in 12a, an index system of comprehensive evaluation is put forward to test the capacity of sustainable development of environmental quality. By means of the method principal component analysis, the first 4 principal components of 94.75% cumulative are selected and are used to regression testing, the Degree of Sustainable Development (DSD) of each year is calculated with this index system. Furthermore, the time sequence model is established for DSD, which is an advisable method for the further quantitative study on the capacity of sustainable development environmental quality.

关 键 词：平项山市 区域性环境资源 可持续发展 主成分分析 可持续发展度 时间数列模型 

分 类 号：X821[环境科学与工程—环境工程]